Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc90448aae6976070085f838a4f05569a4d98a02bb10264546e84df2f431de5c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $878,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $959,699
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $878,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 501 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 47c | 226,149$106,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,217.27 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 47c | 75,291$35,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,247.26 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 50c | 74,133$36,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,824.35 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked No | 52c | 70,137$36,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,371.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 55c | 60,000$32,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,101.71 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 52,832$28,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,694.42 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 46,993$15,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,702.16 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 51c | 25,078$12,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,789.56 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 23,685$8,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,781.32 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 48c | 22,931$10,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,934.04 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 27c | 22,686$6,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,152.11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 45c | 18,390$8,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,333.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 45c | 18,143$8,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,145.64 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 54c | 17,455$9,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,382.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 46c | 16,444$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,816.31 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,950 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 46c | 14,558$6,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,833.5 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 46c | 13,115$6,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,021.87 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 51c | 12,908$6,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,583.16 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 11,766$6,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,434.52 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked No | 54c | 10,333$5,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,533.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 54c | 9,112$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.63 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 20c | 8,303$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.89 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Yes | 49c | 8,075$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,118.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed No | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c5…a4debacked No | 54c | 7,179$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,862.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Yes | 57c | 7,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 34c | 6,820$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.8 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…73a8backed Yes | 48c | 5,216$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.98 | 123 | 10.6%13 W · 110 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…9b1abacked No | 20c | 4,999$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 47c | 4,920$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 54c | 3,929$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,121.41 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 3,888$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.35 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 45c | 3,660$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked No | 56c | 3,582$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.45per pick | 62cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 45c | 3,556$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.06 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 55c | 3,405$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 55c | 2,736$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.1 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 48c | 2,717$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.5 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed No | 48c | 2,353$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 54c | 2,335$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.53 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 50c | 2,214$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.82 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24d…3ab5backed No | 56c | 2,202$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.17 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 3c | 2,175$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7d8abacked Yes | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 2,067$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 54c | 2,005$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.32 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 50c | 1,993$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.39 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 50c | 1,990$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…9ff6backed Yes | 80c | 1,813$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1a…16a4backed No | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes | 79c | 1,606$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 12c | 1,600$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.98 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 80c | 1,543$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Yes | 57c | 1,498$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Yes | 57c | 1,416$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked No | 54c | 1,267$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.8 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Yes | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…32f7backed Yes | 59c | 1,229$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 1,225$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.49 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 58c | 1,207$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.89 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 51c | 1,186$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.4 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 54c | 1,142$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 20c | 1,081$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…8138backed Yes | 78c | 1,054$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 17c | 1,036$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.16 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…2945backed Yes | 80c | 1,002$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a83…195bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.1 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.34 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2667backed Yes | 50c | 909.28$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 55c | 872.56$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.25 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Yes | 57c | 804.51$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.94 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 52c | 792.9$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.5 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 51c | 750$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 44c | 749.98$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 44c | 749.91$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.96 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 47c | 747.17$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 6c | 740.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…6ae0backed Yes | 80c | 735.86$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 48c | 729.17$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 54c | 724.31$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.47 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 55c | 702.32$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.28 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e328backed Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Yes | 46c | 651.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.61 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked No | 52c | 648$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?this page
- Will Uganda vs. Nigeria end in a draw?No won
- Will Uganda win on 2025-12-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.