TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof DN SOOPers, BNK FEARX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$593,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$785,948

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $593,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ac7…8a43backed DN SOOPers1c68,250$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60218132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed BNK FEARX70c48,864$34,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,440.4813061.5%80 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed DN SOOPers18c45,967$8,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,430.111,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN SOOPers28c35,688$9,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,895.321,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c56…78d1backed BNK FEARX70c30,000$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0001060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed BNK FEARX73c23,755$17,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.222451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed BNK FEARX67c20,557$13,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,783.7753750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed DN SOOPers21c20,000$4,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,194.5522355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked DN SOOPers33c19,875$6,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,558.7525453.5%136 W · 118 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN SOOPers33c15,829$5,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174.771,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed DN SOOPers30c15,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,50064155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed DN SOOPers24c10,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,35030843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed DN SOOPers1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%0 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed DN SOOPers29c8,621$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.997349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed BNK FEARX67c7,945$5,324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,621.051,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…f745backed BNK FEARX76c7,332$5,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.669955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed DN SOOPers20c7,180$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.4681143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed DN SOOPers23c6,649$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,534.1648149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed BNK FEARX67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,65089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x19c0…c8cdbacked DN SOOPers0c5,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153020%6 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed DN SOOPers16c3,887$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.364247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7e8…db20backed DN SOOPers34c3,688$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2543342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed BNK FEARX66c3,561$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.669144%40 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed DN SOOPers28c3,500$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9932234.5%111 W · 211 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed DN SOOPers20c3,203$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.461,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28e3…881abacked DN SOOPers1c3,013$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257627.6%21 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed DN SOOPers34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked DN SOOPers34c2,941$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed DN SOOPers32c2,750$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.1844451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked BNK FEARX68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9932145.5%146 W · 175 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed DN SOOPers10c2,400$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.526729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed BNK FEARX71c2,053$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.371,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked BNK FEARX67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff88…00e9backed DN SOOPers1c1,997$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.941175.1%6 W · 111 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed DN SOOPers30c1,949$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.569255.4%51 W · 41 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked BNK FEARX70c1,713$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.629945.8%137 W · 162 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…07c0backed DN SOOPers1c1,667$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.339016.7%15 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3737…bfd1backed BNK FEARX79c1,561$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5137957.5%218 W · 161 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0103…5ca8backed BNK FEARX75c1,389$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.237162%44 W · 27 L+7.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed DN SOOPers34c1,382$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-39.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked BNK FEARX71c1,382$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.7914866.9%99 W · 49 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked BNK FEARX68c1,313$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.189050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked DN SOOPers29c1,262$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.8687844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed DN SOOPers30c1,250$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed DN SOOPers3c1,200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,5173.3%50 W · 1,467 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick7cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed DN SOOPers26c1,161$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042348.2%204 W · 219 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BNK FEARX68c1,157$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.511,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a26…1589backed BNK FEARX70c1,078$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.2619147.1%90 W · 101 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed DN SOOPers30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023454.7%128 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…2f8abacked DN SOOPers33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed DN SOOPers26c999.99$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2601,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked DN SOOPers21c996.38$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.752,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked BNK FEARX74c945.14$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.741,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a8a…9dfcbacked DN SOOPers33c909.09$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006732.8%22 W · 45 L-7.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed BNK FEARX72c900.61$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.1734658.1%201 W · 145 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked BNK FEARX78c897.44$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.4452065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed DN SOOPers31c869.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.896250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked BNK FEARX72c833$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.241,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1a2c…83afbacked DN SOOPers1c800$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114202.6%11 W · 409 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-81.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked BNK FEARX70c707.27$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.1876955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd621…b9efbacked DN SOOPers9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6325241.3%104 W · 148 L+16.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed DN SOOPers24c687.91$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3340726.8%109 W · 298 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed BNK FEARX68c668.44$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.281,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked DN SOOPers32c624.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…ac64backed DN SOOPers31c598.24$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.4924323%56 W · 187 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked DN SOOPers34c572.08$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2714136.9%52 W · 89 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc688…4993backed BNK FEARX80c528.16$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1617558.9%103 W · 72 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed DN SOOPers28c520.34$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.711,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked DN SOOPers13c500$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.567115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed DN SOOPers8c500$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked DN SOOPers8c500$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4034244.7%153 W · 189 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed DN SOOPers25c499.99$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12533237.7%125 W · 207 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked BNK FEARX71c499.97$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4967549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked DN SOOPers30c497.34$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.232350.8%164 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa8e…31c0backed DN SOOPers10c484$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.412040.8%49 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed DN SOOPers32c472$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8841439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f3…85debacked DN SOOPers11c462.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.884360.5%26 W · 17 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+35.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb436…0c8abacked BNK FEARX71c460.5$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.552560%15 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b44…fcfcbacked DN SOOPers32c412.72$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.071947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed BNK FEARX69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12428948.1%139 W · 150 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DN SOOPers30c399.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.991,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed DN SOOPers19c380.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.381540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed DN SOOPers30c366.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8966947.8%320 W · 349 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked BNK FEARX70c360$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10835642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fce…8731backed BNK FEARX79c357.58$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.563551.4%18 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…21d7backed DN SOOPers15c357$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.495932.2%19 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked DN SOOPers9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3075630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b7…c49bbacked DN SOOPers12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016253.7%87 W · 75 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcfe…4a37backed DN SOOPers30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015349%75 W · 78 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18b7…fff9backed DN SOOPers6c333.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055110.3%57 W · 494 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec7b…917ebacked BNK FEARX68c323.53$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.537847.4%37 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked DN SOOPers32c310$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.235045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked DN SOOPers33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,44343.4%626 W · 817 L+105.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked DN SOOPers33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9971057%405 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5ea…d07fbacked DN SOOPers34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10295951.3%492 W · 467 L+42.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed DN SOOPers22c300$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6632337.2%120 W · 203 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x257a…b42abacked BNK FEARX68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1218356.8%104 W · 79 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc27f…2a25backed DN SOOPers33c270$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.196452.7%508 W · 456 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed DN SOOPers30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7564553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.