TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BNK FEARXof BNK FEARX, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,550
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,550 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa4fd…748bbacked DN SOOPers50c17,791$8,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,874.286338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b9…79a2backed BNK FEARX52c14,110$7,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,754.462532%8 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0993…525fbacked DN SOOPers48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8005352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed BNK FEARX51c9,365$4,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,598.2329447.6%140 W · 154 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed DN SOOPers48c7,674$3,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,683.513846.4%64 W · 74 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked BNK FEARX50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50014342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf184…c2d7backed DN SOOPers48c5,726$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.3714553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed BNK FEARX51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45047455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked DN SOOPers49c4,803$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.151,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed BNK FEARX52c4,500$2,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,160944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+88.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed BNK FEARX49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,53011245.5%51 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked BNK FEARX48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56011753%62 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed DN SOOPers52c2,639$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.91,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed DN SOOPers49c2,359$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150.472,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed DN SOOPers48c2,193$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.732962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked BNK FEARX49c1,734$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.4617444.8%78 W · 96 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7609…6c4ebacked DN SOOPers51c1,352$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.761435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed DN SOOPers46c1,190$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.3364247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked BNK FEARX52c1,050$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.529738.7%115 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed DN SOOPers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5207463.5%47 W · 27 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed BNK FEARX51c999.9$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.953342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed BNK FEARX48c956.32$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.291,30838.6%505 W · 803 L-64.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked BNK FEARX52c888$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.241,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab93…8479backed DN SOOPers48c838.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004240.5%17 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed BNK FEARX52c650$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31221154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c65…4f24backed BNK FEARX52c650$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3127657.9%44 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e19…e1e8backed DN SOOPers48c567.85$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.578658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed BNK FEARX52c561.58$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.961,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed BNK FEARX54c530.98$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9521051.4%108 W · 102 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed BNK FEARX69c504$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.7997854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed BNK FEARX51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2452737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked BNK FEARX50c500$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.348847.3%231 W · 257 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed DN SOOPers22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11018132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d40…5739backed DN SOOPers45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009848%47 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed BNK FEARX55c441.67$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.7516654.2%90 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed BNK FEARX50c394$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1979441.5%39 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed BNK FEARX52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6239541.3%163 W · 232 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x631a…a80fbacked DN SOOPers52c361.54$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18813844.2%61 W · 77 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked BNK FEARX52c360$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.835642.4%151 W · 205 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf490…63afbacked BNK FEARX55c304.24$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.3817738.4%68 W · 109 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked BNK FEARX52c290.21$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2122562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf58d…1fadbacked BNK FEARX53c283.02$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.02837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed DN SOOPers53c253.55$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.444451.8%230 W · 214 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed BNK FEARX56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11065063.2%411 W · 239 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked BNK FEARX51c220.9$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4160243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed BNK FEARX53c207.55$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.5526440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked DN SOOPers55c204.63$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11392354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked BNK FEARX50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10021548.4%104 W · 111 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked BNK FEARX52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9616439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed BNK FEARX78c195.79$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0738439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed BNK FEARX78c178.75$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.591,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed BNK FEARX45c174.63$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.62,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed BNK FEARX51c162.5$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.638342.2%35 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed DN SOOPers48c153$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4412539.2%49 W · 76 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed BNK FEARX52c149.33$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.681,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef5…e92fbacked BNK FEARX53c139.85$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+199.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed DN SOOPers51c137.25$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052441%215 W · 309 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked DN SOOPers25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3038931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked DN SOOPers23c119$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3719835.4%70 W · 128 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked DN SOOPers50c115$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.335848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked BNK FEARX49c114$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1437343.4%162 W · 211 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed DN SOOPers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011850.8%60 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df3…b8bebacked DN SOOPers49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed DN SOOPers29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2925851.9%134 W · 124 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed BNK FEARX51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4915143.7%66 W · 85 L-13.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x25a4…69f6backed BNK FEARX52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488659.3%51 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed BNK FEARX48c99.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5210546.7%49 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed BNK FEARX53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3412251.6%63 W · 59 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb627…2d13backed BNK FEARX65c94.3$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2951552.6%271 W · 244 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed BNK FEARX50c89.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.695547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked BNK FEARX54c83.33$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.3319840.4%80 W · 118 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d0…6cbabacked DN SOOPers48c79.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.232650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce20…bb8abacked BNK FEARX63c78.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.9921859.2%129 W · 89 L+26.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed BNK FEARX54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0725542%107 W · 148 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed BNK FEARX53c73.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.588354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed BNK FEARX69c69.38$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5137948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaf7…be9bbacked BNK FEARX54c68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2818844.7%84 W · 104 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb54f…fa26backed DN SOOPers31c64.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+73.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked DN SOOPers49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3053829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d45…7e85backed DN SOOPers49c55.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed BNK FEARX49c55.78$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.4516737.7%63 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked BNK FEARX54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5613964%89 W · 50 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked DN SOOPers46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2537342.9%160 W · 213 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked BNK FEARX52c53.85$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8582161%501 W · 320 L+1.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed DN SOOPers48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked DN SOOPers49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9914546.9%68 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed DN SOOPers48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421945.2%99 W · 120 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf56…743ebacked BNK FEARX62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192231.8%7 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.24per pick56cpaid-40.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked DN SOOPers31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.531439.8%125 W · 189 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x997c…51f3backed DN SOOPers41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.619342%81 W · 112 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cac…2cfbbacked BNK FEARX53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c0…5fc2backed DN SOOPers49c42.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2112862.5%80 W · 48 L+12.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed DN SOOPers49c42.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+34.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa40c…d480backed BNK FEARX50c42$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7e…e0b3backed BNK FEARX49c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.415450.6%78 W · 76 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed DN SOOPers36c39.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3570443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…9bbbbacked BNK FEARX52c38.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed BNK FEARX52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7646248.9%226 W · 236 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dc…3728backed BNK FEARX49c36.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7331750.8%161 W · 156 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff4c…c020backed BNK FEARX64c31.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.082650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.