TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,114
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,114 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed No52c36,100$18,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,3445352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Yes48c15,988$7,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,674.095651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No51c10,990$5,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,385.120239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes48c10,050$4,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8242,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,80050644.3%224 W · 282 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No52c8,634$4,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,144.241,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes48c8,555$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,118.621,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked No54c8,000$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64017042.9%73 W · 97 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes48c7,497$3,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,635.7918259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes48c6,121$2,937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.031,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes44c5,538$2,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.812,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes48c5,040$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.241,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed No52c4,600$2,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2082751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48bd…4a29backed Yes3c3,239$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes40c3,015$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.036,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1748…a816backed Yes48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4401973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+46.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes48c3,000$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44046651.9%242 W · 224 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c2,472$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,176.034,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes48c2,262$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,089.691,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009250%46 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes48c1,686$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.2679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3509843.9%43 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…7708backed Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick30cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ce5…02b3backed Yes6c1,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55160%0 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes47c940.68$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.031,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed Yes42c830.71$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.197317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No66c801.38$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.4840640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Yes48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes48c624.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.341,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes49c620$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.814943%64 W · 85 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes19c599.91$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4617017.6%30 W · 140 L-27.5wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-60.6%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Yes3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1527024.8%67 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes48c444.21$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2212441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes35c428.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Yes48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes48c329.44$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.131,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes47c325.43$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.0358445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11411533.9%39 W · 76 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No53c299.99$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.999254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0db7…5c06backed Yes47c225.93$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2317635.8%63 W · 113 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1332822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9244036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Yes36c194.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1924349%119 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Yes40c179$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.610448.1%50 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e82…86f6backed No72c176.79$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.793762.2%23 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes47c170$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.73821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Yes48c149.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.997252.8%38 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506838.2%26 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No53c141.28$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.49650%48 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98be…51d9backed Yes37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505637.5%21 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No51c131.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.057147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Yes35c130.11$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.542433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb86d…3e71backed Yes46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520840.9%85 W · 123 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4729158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467731.2%24 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed No53c87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbadb…6a54backed Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdcd…b8e6backed Yes49c80$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bb…d0d6backed No52c75.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.084862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2425…d39abacked Yes35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255932.2%19 W · 40 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes47c63.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.889050%45 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked No53c61$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6711955.5%66 W · 53 L+13.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+23.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xafd4…4432backed Yes46c60.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes50c60.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306149.2%30 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes47c55.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2629735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.23per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5853…dc28backed Yes48c50.58$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.28650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253151.6%16 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+42.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258349.4%41 W · 42 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Yes47c48.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cc7…3d14backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c01…428ebacked Yes49c44.94$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cff…6471backed Yes42c43.56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.35633.9%19 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.44548.9%22 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc597…668ebacked Yes48c38.46$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7155654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed Yes43c34.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdea7…6b46backed No53c31.62$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf9…e86bbacked Yes48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16157.4%35 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9de1…f272backed No53c28.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.448144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.328950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed No54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.785450%27 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1aa…071abacked Yes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes48c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11dc…f4dcbacked No59c23.44$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0836845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.