Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ce1796cad22f72dfbe487400d2a2040c430bffcdc2f6586cff94b8e8f62403e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,647$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.74 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,518$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.74 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,038$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.75 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 688.01$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.82 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 18c | 333.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 79c | 328.3$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 28c | 232.14$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 32c | 219.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 75c | 151.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.81 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6d…c733backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 52.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 25.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 74c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 18.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-01?Yes won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.