Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97068da836677e087438da44bbe909d1addd44a0fb231a5a44ac9f7b84082ea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 31c | 40,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,599.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 24,630$14,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,636.98 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes | 26c | 20,187$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,959.73 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 10,858$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 10,180$7,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,533.21 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 59c | 6,635$3,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,930.14 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 74c | 4,700$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 70c | 4,049$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.13 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 74c | 3,750$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779.1 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Yes | 26c | 3,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes | 26c | 2,726$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 2,523$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.05 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 68c | 2,166$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.77 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 25c | 1,754$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.5 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 74c | 1,586$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.95 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…4404backed No | 12c | 1,232$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 70c | 900$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc760…a21abacked No | 74c | 820$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed No | 74c | 810.81$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 794.07$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.98 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 696.67$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.41 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 65c | 618.86$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.86 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 70c | 582.36$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.28 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.8 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 196 | 54.6%107 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7c45backed Yes | 72c | 277.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 74c | 256.79$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.38 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 236.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 50c | 203.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 182 | 51.6%94 W · 88 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 76c | 202.63$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked No | 74c | 199.71$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 176.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 25c | 138.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 76c | 126.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 162 | 38.3%62 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 36c | 91.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 74c | 89.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 19c | 88.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 26c | 81.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…506fbacked No | 14c | 79.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…51d9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 73c | 70$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.1 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc9…fc76backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…3edebacked Yes | 76c | 65.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…e3acbacked Yes | 28c | 41.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…0c2abacked Yes | 64c | 38.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc307…bf36backed No | 75c | 32.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc081…224dbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 66c | 24.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a43…8c0bbacked Yes | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 76c | 19.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3d…f39dbacked No | 74c | 18.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf18…7a1abacked Yes | 67c | 17.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-01?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.