TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4752…2a91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST2714.8%4 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-57%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$101.66
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$173
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Hawks vs. Warriorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+270.4%+$292
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Wizards vs. Sunsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$100
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$104
Knicks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Pelicans vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+154.4%+$223.78
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$396
Wizards vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Thunderbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+112.8%+$318
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$132
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Hawksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$412
Hawks vs. Thunderbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$310
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$83.45
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+66.7%+$120
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37.2%+$111.52
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$84
Sheffield United FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+300%+$75
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+233.3%+$210
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$138.46
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Toulouse FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$104
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$55.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$16.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.