Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75fcb243f8f534e5478be113b389f3d7d8f78b7bb2d227734dc0919bb5672f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 2,396$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.39 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 75c | 1,550$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.73 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Yes | 1c | 1,096$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 118 | 12.7%15 W · 103 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 929.68$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.42 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 899.51$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.59 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…5804backed Yes | 15c | 606.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Yes | 34c | 532.41$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 512.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.97 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 4c | 502.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 405.47$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 378.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 67c | 338.81$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 68c | 304.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Yes | 20c | 291.1$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 25c | 200.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 34c | 185.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 37c | 181.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 24c | 159.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 23c | 144.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 24c | 88.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 26c | 85.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768b…de48backed Yes | 26c | 73.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 69.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 67 | 86.6%58 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 77cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 74c | 53.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…5da0backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…7ff1backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba8…bc05backed No | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…b936backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 79c | 18.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 76c | 18.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed No | 75c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…7e4dbacked No | 80c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.