Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5adc5edbab7437d11f056b8726df4aebc2fa81576ceaffbf8208b233cb158087
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 8,580$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.24 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 16c | 5,849$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.88 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 1c | 3,799$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,954$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 2,949$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.06 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,900$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 8c | 1,795$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.5 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 3c | 1,360$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 15c | 1,261$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.68 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 10c | 1,249$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 10c | 1,112$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…5804backed Yes | 4c | 1,026$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 15c | 799.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.96 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 16c | 500.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…8de5backed Yes | 17c | 194.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 16c | 187.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 19c | 150$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 10c | 130.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…dea6backed Yes | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 14c | 122.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…ea50backed Yes | 10c | 100.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf57…7b2fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 16c | 82.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 17c | 82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…b87ebacked Yes | 17c | 67.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-02?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.