Premier League · resolved market
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7f1edad9720e42e3ed65a2d7a1b4c409703c7765d1fc1d88f106573d5e1b376
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1df…4404backed Yes | 1c | 4,596$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,003$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 17c | 2,900$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.99 | 182 | 59.3%108 W · 74 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe60…4546backed Yes | 5c | 1,256$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 941$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.61 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1e…19e3backed Yes | 3c | 631.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 555.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.6 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…308abacked Yes | 13c | 355.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 29c | 223.28$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 71c | 200.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.07 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x916c…669abacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 28c | 160$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes | 29c | 150.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 72c | 148$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 134$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked No | 71c | 99.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 88.67$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981c…7f14backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -7.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3481…6b3cbacked Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd2…5dfdbacked Yes | 31c | 64.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed9…c127backed No | 71c | 56.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 55.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf673…a9a3backed No | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 71c | 30.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked No | 73c | 17.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-01-01?No won
- Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.