TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$165,089
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $165,089 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No27c13,686$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,752.666,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes26c12,939$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,534.631,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c11,952$2,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.54,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No72c10,072$7,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,296.042,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked No67c9,655$6,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,513.738962.9%56 W · 33 L+0.4wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c9,354$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.41,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c8,454$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.81305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No75c7,500$5,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,62524846.8%116 W · 132 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No33c3,778$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.718259.3%108 W · 74 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No35c3,049$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.752,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No72c2,461$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.681,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Yes26c2,400$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7762948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1df…4404backed No18c2,352$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.287317.8%13 W · 60 L-8.5wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-66.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No75c2,347$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.938853.4%47 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes54c2,200$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,01219652%102 W · 94 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Yes28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.994953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes26c1,863$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,378.568145.7%37 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes56c1,648$917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.381050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No29c1,549$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.091,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c1,222$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.051,16157.4%666 W · 495 L+40.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ec…c1f5backed No77c1,000$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7707759.7%46 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9925836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a8…2927backed Yes25c945$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.751323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No2c931.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1211712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Yes56c873.21$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.212528%7 W · 18 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No57c785.36$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.781,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes61c770$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes23c748.8$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.5816232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c668.54$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.071,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed9…c127backed No17c640.56$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.511741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes58c606.16$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.593834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17436462.9%229 W · 135 L+32.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes35c594.35$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.3511446.5%53 W · 61 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes35c576.42$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.425141.2%21 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd382…8885backed Yes54c541.7$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.282259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+29.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No30c531$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1620239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bab…6832backed Yes26c513.73$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.1612441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes29c500$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35532736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No29c494.31$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3541344.8%185 W · 228 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c1e…19e3backed No6c471.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No75c454$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.579650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Yes77c372.49$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.748365.1%54 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes25c368.85$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5112647.6%60 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe60…4546backed No20c361.18$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No13c355.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0157744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b84…de18backed Yes66c339.69$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.271758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid+20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked No71c300$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2139254.3%50 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No22c298.2$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.487740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.461764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes29c258.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.6215257.2%87 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No9c238.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes30c229.2$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.3320027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No12c228.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8618139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes53c226.5$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.537740.3%152 W · 225 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe9…e2f7backed Yes26c221.77$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.11425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed No46c208.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966553.8%35 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc049…48abbacked Yes29c206.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.98925.8%23 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5896445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14244036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd25…01aebacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes26c192.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.3119654.6%107 W · 89 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5737…ad86backed Yes54c185.17$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa122…9847backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574839.6%19 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xccf9…e86bbacked No13c161.24$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.53540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes28c159.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.193821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…f354backed No24c159.32$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4243…35d1backed Yes25c156.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda50…2a41backed Yes25c140$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054634.8%16 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x981c…7f14backed Yes36c137.74$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.622445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc307…bf36backed No76c132.45$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.662458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ecc…6b37backed No76c130$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+67%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x916d…308abacked No37c129.65$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.411323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xceee…aa7ebacked No12c114.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes26c113.44$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9558445.9%268 W · 316 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe709…bcc6backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.141421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-43.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6038…2130backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.143345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+27.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Yes33c101.57$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5725256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ba7…9b4dbacked Yes26c100$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.672832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7274056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9672…e185backed No73c99.43$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x436f…5a00backed No17c93.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes54c92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.329753.6%52 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-10.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x727a…a6e8backed No14c88.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608845.5%40 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No29c77.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3618251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd743…59bdbacked Yes25c72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545945.8%27 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.437030%21 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.437642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.978847.7%42 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf9…0930backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.971631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No29c64.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.717452.7%39 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x823d…3d44backed Yes48c62.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.214434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Yes25c60$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454951%25 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd934…a00abacked Yes66c60$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.64953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6928531.2%89 W · 196 L-20.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes26c57.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.6929735.4%105 W · 192 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.