TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$146,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb784…61d0backed No69c44,662$30,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,845.193847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes31c20,799$6,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,4111030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c10,610$3,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,878.294,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes31c9,999$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.747424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c9,118$6,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652.841,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes31c7,200$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,23264046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No56c6,697$3,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.9590843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No69c5,753$3,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.581,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bc…84febacked Yes30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes32c4,096$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.6424147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes31c3,653$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.9550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes31c3,649$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.686944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes34c3,630$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.572,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked No69c3,117$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.255246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes30c3,003$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.98243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9606240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No70c2,222$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.622448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked No27c2,011$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.36837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes31c1,814$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.7330634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No69c1,667$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.7623452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No69c1,548$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.883351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No60c1,220$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.3369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes30c1,209$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.2714244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed No61c1,150$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4432669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No53c1,104$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.0784939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed No70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes31c967.74$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001926.3%5 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Yes22c963.61$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.35425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-62.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No57c829.51$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9529038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No69c809.14$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.679055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes35c796.34$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.443,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d5…1102backed No69c749.98$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e0…e058backed No38c731.92$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.632100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+130.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No59c634.68$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.222951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No69c625.67$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9615049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb7…3bf0backed Yes31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No70c590$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9523947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes31c539$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.095151%26 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked No71c514.93$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.331369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes74c511.1$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.361668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick71cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad8…9bc1backed Yes37c490.88$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.623246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505232.7%17 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked No69c475.35$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.361080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No61c406.27$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.228241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes30c403.33$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12114427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18816446.3%76 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes31c382$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No57c344.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5429946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed No60c333.95$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5819258.9%113 W · 79 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f3…642dbacked Yes31c325.81$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes20c323.64$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.151618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No35c286.09$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.9619544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x604d…4608backed Yes30c266.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807635.5%27 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes31c249.9$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Yes10c241.27$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+35.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2683…2be7backed Yes33c230.3$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked No27c223.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.48236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76ba…13d3backed Yes9c221.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+41.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0d…dea7backed Yes32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702552%13 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes31c212.9$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6615832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Yes60c211.69$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.023030%9 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked No33c209.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3310039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-67.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6020642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042557.9%246 W · 179 L+1.5wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609044.4%40 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x566e…1340backed No70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607751.9%40 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4752…2a91backed No65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes15c197.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes10c192.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.275724.6%14 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Yes31c189.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Yes32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+73%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No52c184.02$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.5615442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes31c182$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4253242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No69c178.23$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2574657.4%428 W · 318 L+22.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7fc…1511backed Yes11c174.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-46.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No62c164.28$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.1516838.1%64 W · 104 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Yes12c164$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.454755.3%26 W · 21 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+34.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes60c162.41$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.45650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506731.3%21 W · 46 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked Yes41c158.52$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.231850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Yes37c156.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816446.3%76 W · 88 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes31c151$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.819330.1%28 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4388…58dabacked Yes31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No77c149.99$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.519662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf8e2…2cc3backed Yes55c149.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.75850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes30c143$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.95034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002560%15 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c44…78dbbacked Yes64c135.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No50c129.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.624744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes31c123.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2430749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc48…2427backed Yes31c122.68$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No70c120$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.624546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes31c119.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2298…ac49backed Yes13c115.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154615.2%7 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Yes36c111.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.