TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$651,295
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$734,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $651,295 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead1…c76abacked Yes34c122,170$42,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80,109.9850243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No66c45,743$30,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,190.153138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c43,747$27,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,041.681,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c38,886$25,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,695.781,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c34,607$23,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,293.544,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No24c34,475$8,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,115.697455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked No66c30,901$20,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,394.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No66c28,000$18,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,479.995242.3%22 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Yes36c25,000$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,999.754942.9%21 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No66c24,974$16,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,482.985337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…4f48backed Yes34c20,800$7,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,7281030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c20,314$13,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,216.451,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes34c18,000$6,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,880.456240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No66c15,601$10,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,296.492850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd661…6e34backed No67c14,455$9,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,685366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dae…4688backed No66c13,706$9,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,090837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked No65c12,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,8001040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes33c10,306$3,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,869.8830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes33c9,550$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,44516740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes35c8,573$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,572.647632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes34c8,378$2,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,529.485246.2%24 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No64c7,400$4,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,73664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No76c7,244$5,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes33c7,150$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7566944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes32c6,731$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,579.4412338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No39c5,957$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,336.8540033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes36c5,830$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,731.28243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes59c5,819$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.6112553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1658…d875backed Yes34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes20c5,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,000520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes36c4,984$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,183.9210250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes65c4,739$3,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.313,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No68c4,412$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes17c4,200$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,471.0422859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6394…9bb3backed No67c4,186$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,804.921020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked No67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,68080%0 W · 8 L-4.3wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed Yes34c3,590$1,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.183537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes33c3,258$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.5513845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c3,132$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,932.272,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes30c3,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100.171435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No69c2,916$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0006672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1a65…15b1backed No67c2,817$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.53728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No65c2,500$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6258457.1%48 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67513046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes30c2,486$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,728.45644.6%25 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No64c2,222$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.1522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8608461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes33c2,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3406640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes34c1,900$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No41c1,635$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.2183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No65c1,538$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Yes34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9906546.2%30 W · 35 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes33c1,424$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$954.244934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c1…7d67backed Yes34c1,412$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Yes34c1,306$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.886555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes77c1,303$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+88.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No77c1,219$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.6569142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes33c1,212$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.127241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes53c1,162$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.969851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Yes31c1,133$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.586033.3%20 W · 40 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes36c1,068$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.647534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No66c1,050$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6934348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Yes67c1,033$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.44425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-62.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed No66c1,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6602846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Yes17c1,000$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.51942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No64c1,000$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6353650%18 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6704156.1%23 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacba…9256backed Yes35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6503145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6307851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No65c999.99$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.039055.6%50 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5646…3819backed No67c980.83$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No65c945.19$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4927854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes31c932.18$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.184843.8%21 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No67c900$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60015049.3%74 W · 76 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes31c881.89$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.8926241.2%108 W · 154 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes32c857$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.226550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d7…ba47backed No64c850$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5447250%36 W · 36 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes34c846$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.362429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes34c800$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52521355.9%119 W · 94 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed No80c784.04$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes33c781.4$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.41850%9 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes33c760.1$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.15651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78bc…2585backed Yes34c760$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.62944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Yes16c752.67$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.673534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No65c748.21$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.4620452.5%107 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b8…bf98backed Yes37c675.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes35c669.51$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.182860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes21c651$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.293842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes35c648.57$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.578252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865a…b52ebacked Yes34c644.59$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.681526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42513045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes36c625$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40015646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a55…fd0dbacked Yes33c623$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.411020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes32c621$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.288521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed Yes32c618.32$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.43056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes20c616.72$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.7230842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No66c612.06$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.963941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes20c600.25$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.252152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+51.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.