La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65e2e7786bcfc759ff4c146e3d42ea3f40479f6dc98d11cdde9d6a75cf71a6d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $292,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd5b4…9785backed Yes | 37c | 40,588$14,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,911.84 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 65c | 25,000$16,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,749.99 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 22,401$14,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520.24 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 12,108$7,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,475.66 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked No | 63c | 11,118$7,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,073.17 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…e1f5backed No | 63c | 9,000$5,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 8,851$6,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.88 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 35c | 7,190$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f19…2eccbacked Yes | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 65c | 4,769$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.23 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 4,529$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.48 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 1c | 3,553$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 1c | 3,444$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 32c | 3,133$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 63c | 3,033$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.86 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…382dbacked Yes | 35c | 2,858$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 35c | 2,845$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…5bdfbacked Yes | 35c | 2,615$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Yes | 19c | 2,540$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 35c | 2,286$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 36c | 2,223$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.19 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 65c | 2,222$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.69 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 35c | 2,220$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 64c | 2,200$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Yes | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 63c | 1,832$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.52 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 64c | 1,711$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.92 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked No | 63c | 1,592$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…b988backed No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 35c | 1,524$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.2 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e54…54c4backed Yes | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked No | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Yes | 37c | 1,324$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,294$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…d09cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed No | 65c | 1,166$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.12 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 1,131$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.21 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…9256backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a44…e974backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…1cfdbacked No | 63c | 999.95$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.98 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 65c | 973.53$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.74 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 37c | 900$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 36c | 825.86$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked No | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d88…0f4cbacked No | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 16c | 781.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 62c | 731.53$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.98 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Yes | 14c | 714.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 70c | 682.53$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes | 38c | 628.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…200ebacked Yes | 37c | 614.69$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114b…7bc9backed Yes | 36c | 588.75$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 575.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.33 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 34c | 557.78$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 17c | 533.9$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 37c | 511.35$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 239 | 47.7%114 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48f9…cd95backed No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 64c | 499.98$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 36c | 460$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.46 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…642dbacked Yes | 27c | 444.44$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 31c | 426.15$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.43 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 39c | 416.74$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.53 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…ee68backed No | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae87…5739backed Yes | 38c | 394.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 37c | 384.17$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 34c | 383.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed No | 66c | 381.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.22 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked No | 66c | 380.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.33 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 37c | 371.93$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.61 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 15c | 332.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Yes | 36c | 330.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 39c | 310.93$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.78 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed No | 65c | 308$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 27c | 297.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…7930backed Yes | 33c | 295.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 64c | 292.86$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.64 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ac…fb22backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 161 | 42.2%68 W · 93 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 37c | 280.64$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 22c | 280.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 37c | 274.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.18 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Yes | 37c | 257.78$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…9104backed No | 63c | 253.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…7a4cbacked Yes | 27c | 248.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb06…4ababacked No | 65c | 241.54$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-12?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-12?Yes won
- Will Sevilla FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.