Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44788ec11da6fbcedc95db8ccb2e08e05a763cba061dbe4e9633cd4963cb35a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,400,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,511,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,400,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,012 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Yes | 67c | 1,533,379$1,025,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025,000 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked No | 33c | 1,000,000$330,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670,000 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 35c | 228,948$79,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,059.3 | 189 | 50.3%95 W · 94 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 33c | 167,589$55,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,108.72 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 33c | 137,636$45,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,215.83 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 33c | 96,461$32,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,264.64 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 66c | 93,070$61,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,429.48 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 36c | 92,000$33,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,913.11 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…bb65backed No | 35c | 78,216$26,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,220.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 37c | 73,791$27,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,241.77 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 25c | 66,674$16,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,684.54 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 63,688$41,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,830.71 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 33c | 52,500$17,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,024.98 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 33c | 52,500$17,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,174.91 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 66c | 38,864$25,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,650.25 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes | 64c | 32,400$20,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,736 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 33c | 30,375$10,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,351.13 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed Yes | 65c | 30,081$19,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,670.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed No | 34c | 30,000$10,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,949.93 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 59c | 28,747$17,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,046.14 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 33c | 24,913$8,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,691.9 | 359 | 41.5%149 W · 210 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 66c | 20,400$13,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,399.73 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked No | 34c | 20,000$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 67c | 19,900$13,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,333 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed No | 33c | 17,930$6,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,928.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed No | 33c | 17,900$5,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,992.96 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 36c | 15,600$5,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,984 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 67c | 15,051$10,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,083.54 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2923…a6c5backed Yes | 65c | 14,945$9,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,759 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 34c | 14,699$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,701.09 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 38c | 14,500$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,990 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…30a1backed No | 38c | 14,446$5,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,956.52 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 36c | 14,111$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,044.75 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 38c | 13,984$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600.45 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…4f48backed Yes | 64c | 13,469$8,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,620 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 37c | 12,183$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,675.49 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 36c | 11,388$4,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,245.61 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed No | 33c | 11,040$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,396.78 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…4688backed No | 36c | 11,018$3,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Yes | 67c | 11,000$7,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,370 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 33c | 10,234$3,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,856.63 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 65c | 9,455$6,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,145.72 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 35c | 9,300$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,044.98 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 27c | 9,286$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,783.58 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 38c | 9,181$3,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,649.2 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked No | 33c | 9,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,999.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed No | 33c | 8,532$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,701 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf975…4354backed Yes | 64c | 8,379$5,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,362.35 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Yes | 61c | 7,408$4,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,518.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327f…5db1backed No | 40c | 7,302$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 65c | 7,173$4,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Yes | 63c | 7,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 32c | 6,761$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,584.34 | 111 | 62.2%69 W · 42 L | +10.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes | 66c | 6,723$4,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,437 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 18c | 6,681$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.37 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked No | 29c | 6,608$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680.42 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +210.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 62c | 6,395$3,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,964.9 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 33c | 6,340$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.79 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 67c | 6,080$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.08 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,580 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 9c | 5,815$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,310.32 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed No | 34c | 5,609$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,695.81 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 38c | 5,549$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,444.94 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 33c | 4,500$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.96 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Yes | 67c | 4,478$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Yes | 70c | 4,321$3,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,037.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 40c | 4,305$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,583.18 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6135…9b85backed Yes | 60c | 4,192$2,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,514.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 40c | 4,125$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed No | 16c | 4,068$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,416.75 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…fd24backed Yes | 57c | 4,014$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 35c | 4,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,620 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 65c | 3,999$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.67 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 10c | 3,665$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,312.08 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…c607backed Yes | 64c | 3,354$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Yes | 61c | 3,198$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 38c | 3,170$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.17 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed No | 40c | 3,095$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.74 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 65c | 2,999$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked No | 34c | 2,900$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Yes | 65c | 2,888$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed No | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 16c | 2,785$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.99 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 36c | 2,776$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.28 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…ed83backed Yes | 65c | 2,691$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.11 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -10.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 62c | 2,685$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.65 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 78c | 2,607$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…3e17backed Yes | 60c | 2,578$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x961f…ab51backed Yes | 67c | 2,546$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,705.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 40c | 2,515$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.97 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 33c | 2,510$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.45 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.