Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42620b69407b4b4cf5364a20d6b9500a2423d72de0fd3632337ed59cb19ea6f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $717,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 15c | 166,320$24,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,947.94 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 15c | 83,606$12,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,940.23 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 13c | 27,733$3,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,507.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 15c | 21,267$3,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,190.01 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…bb65backed Yes | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…ae12backed Yes | 0c | 17,801$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes | 15c | 16,688$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.27 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 18c | 10,238$1,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.59 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 15c | 8,957$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.14 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 6c | 8,308$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 14c | 7,212$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.71 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 7,092$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.67 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 16c | 6,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 145 | 44.1%64 W · 81 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 15c | 6,050$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Yes | 18c | 3,608$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.35 | 202 | 46.5%94 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 18c | 3,530$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.68 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 15c | 3,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 3c | 3,325$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x937a…dbc8backed Yes | 15c | 3,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 17c | 3,156$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 15c | 3,002$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.37 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 15c | 2,766$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.45 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed Yes | 15c | 2,707$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b97…3f54backed Yes | 4c | 2,510$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 19c | 2,500$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.99 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 17c | 2,414$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.42 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…d052backed Yes | 15c | 2,005$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 1,972$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,900$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.49 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…42bbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,733$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…d5a6backed Yes | 15c | 1,625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 16c | 1,599$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.87 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e7…52cabacked No | 80c | 1,583$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8a…0bf1backed Yes | 19c | 1,365$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…8c5cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Yes | 15c | 1,312$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 18c | 1,200$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b4…269dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,146$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,040$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 233 | 25.8%60 W · 173 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 15c | 1,015$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…7072backed Yes | 3c | 1,010$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,010$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…b5e3backed Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed Yes | 18c | 999.97$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 3c | 999.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 18c | 999.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.92 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…97b8backed Yes | 16c | 999.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eea…929abacked Yes | 13c | 951.15$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 15c | 856.23$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 19c | 803.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.65 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed Yes | 19c | 800$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 16c | 787.56$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.01 | 262 | 29.8%78 W · 184 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 15c | 737.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.63 | 107 | 26.2%28 W · 79 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…1cc0backed Yes | 3c | 710.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.42per pick | 24cpaid | +442.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes | 9c | 708.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 181 | 24.9%45 W · 136 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…ab37backed Yes | 1c | 700$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 14cpaid | +279.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 3c | 671.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…c545backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 80c | 630$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78b5…9129backed Yes | 19c | 621.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…e061backed Yes | 15c | 613.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Yes | 6c | 600$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 18c | 591.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…2974backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa334…beaebacked Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Yes | 2c | 549$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 8c | 547.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 20c | 530$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…588abacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6247…9a13backed Yes | 16c | 524.69$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +63%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4c…ba96backed Yes | 15c | 513.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 12c | 501.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2321…6a04backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…723fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…9bedbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f41…f6debacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3648…7be2backed Yes | 4c | 492.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 16c | 487$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…fe1cbacked Yes | 12c | 482.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…dc71backed Yes | 5c | 476.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…bc66backed Yes | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -71%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2767…886abacked Yes | 4c | 458.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.47per pick | 23cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 7c | 453$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 255 | 30.2%77 W · 178 L | -22.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb202…3909backed Yes | 9c | 450$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +98%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 15c | 448.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…2c49backed Yes | 11c | 445$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed Yes | 5c | 433.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 9c | 426.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.