TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6d08…763e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$27.4
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+809.1%+$178
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39.51
Rayo Vallecano vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Espanyol vs. Villarreal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Elche CF vs. Real Sociedad end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+455.6%+$82
Will Real Oviedo win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Spread: Real Betis (-1.5)backed Mallorca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Alaves vs. Espanyol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10.2
Real Madrid vs. Valencia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$80.64
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-43.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.65
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-11-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100.75
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100.45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+88.7%+$89.3
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$169.93
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Galatasaray SK vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$56
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
All 12 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick24cpaid-83.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will SC Braga vs. KRC Genk end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will SK Brann win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: FC Basel 1893 (-0.5)backed FCSB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$70.19
FC Utrecht vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$61.5
FC Midtjylland vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$49.19
Will Noah FA win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick20cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will AC Milan win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$107.93
AC Milan vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Verona vs. Inter: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+284.6%+$51.8
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)backed AC Milan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$44.25
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$69.83
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+117.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South Africa win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$41.99
Will South Africa vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jiri Leheckabacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Group C - Germany vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.