La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08a820efdd951fd333cbb77e50b4450117c5eaca22f3ed055927c235b0955778
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,916
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.98 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…36c4backed Yes | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 34c | 2,239$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.71 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 33c | 1,158$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 10c | 999.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 68c | 724$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.72 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 66c | 479.98$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.19 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 3c | 448.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Yes | 36c | 446.08$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 67c | 318.3$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.04 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 35c | 287.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 65c | 280.43$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes | 34c | 278$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 66c | 212$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 35c | 206.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.09 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1822…0e6abacked Yes | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed No | 67c | 148.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed No | 68c | 146.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.42 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 66c | 122$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…3914backed Yes | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…569dbacked Yes | 34c | 94.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 35c | 91.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed Yes | 34c | 88.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 31c | 61.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 60.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28d…ebfdbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…6938backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 34c | 59.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2383…e639backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 48.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf9…086cbacked Yes | 34c | 47.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1b0abacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 31c | 43.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked No | 67c | 40.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…278ebacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 34c | 32.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 139 | 69.8%97 W · 42 L | +30.1wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…2ae4backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 64c | 18.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…a18fbacked No | 68c | 16.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…c0edbacked No | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-08?this page
- Will Espanyol vs. Villarreal end in a draw?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.