TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,768 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed No60c6,804$4,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,061.0627453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No60c6,563$3,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,957.1515750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No33c6,306$2,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.217445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No7c4,929$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.872611.5%3 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes41c3,664$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.221338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c2,993$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.34,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes36c2,594$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.62360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Yes41c2,557$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.862951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e77…788dbacked Yes40c2,482$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,482.371136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes42c2,328$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.423855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes40c2,033$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.028552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes40c2,025$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.85940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.9925648.4%124 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes38c1,499$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.392454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes37c1,359$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.833243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes75c1,312$984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.413969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75010250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes77c1,213$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0174457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes56c1,194$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.667632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes39c1,095$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.0127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43025872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes67c848.88$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.895952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c790.81$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.013,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes38c782.52$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.998521.2%18 W · 67 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes40c749.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.992770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30520255%111 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed No60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes39c420$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.29347.3%44 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed No35c389.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.49911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-69.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No49c305.47$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0930743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes37c300.9$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.926242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bb3…fc4dbacked Yes40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2173…d713backed Yes39c281.82$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.911163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes37c271.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.435648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes36c266.67$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.67837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No61c258.05$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ff…ca90backed No60c232.7$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.62850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes39c205$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0548934.4%168 W · 321 L+26.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No31c201.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4729946.5%139 W · 160 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12817155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6def…0b75backed No60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af6…ff10backed No59c186.44$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Yes39c179.49$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.491553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes65c175$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes40c168$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1015841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No61c164.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023855.9%133 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked No61c161.11$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2810956.9%62 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes38c160$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.23571.4%25 W · 10 L+8.7wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+57.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c150$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.51,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes40c147.5$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.520047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.061020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-52.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa40f…2fa3backed No68c145.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes43c139.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8611444.7%51 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes40c138$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.421435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes40c137.9$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.96550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7ee6…c3cabacked Yes34c132.35$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+153.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55fd…73b5backed Yes40c128.95$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1166…a8e1backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cb…797abacked Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be6…2006backed Yes39c113.85$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed No63c111.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No58c110.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4112156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No61c108.19$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.7535054%189 W · 161 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No14c107.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152425%6 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-49.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604060%24 W · 16 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07b…467dbacked No62c95.47$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.19250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3119652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dcb…47a9backed No62c92.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf9…086cbacked Yes41c85.88$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1292…c007backed Yes39c84.62$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d7…2d86backed No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No62c78.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4815051.3%77 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No59c74.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6753242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No60c74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3931751.1%162 W · 155 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3b9…c68cbacked Yes40c72.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.843154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes39c65.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2511559.1%68 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes35c62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.32245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362365.2%15 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.22per pick43cpaid+53.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2031…9c87backed Yes40c57.05$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+101.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe172…274ebacked Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.522740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010248%49 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301973.7%14 W · 5 L+6.3wins+0.33per pick40cpaid+94.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf30e…ad60backed Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No60c48.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3927652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes38c48.61$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.146535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed No63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3021648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22a2…8c84backed Yes65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked No61c44.26$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes40c42.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.59637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x877e…d958backed No60c38.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.21643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.