La Liga · resolved market
Will Espanyol vs. Villarreal end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad6143ed26d45acf29c51fc5a3769d2ad9523e983b6d5fcc9ff96ed9354d588c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,224$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.3 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 28c | 1,373$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.44 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…1188backed No | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 72c | 1,109$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.51 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 76c | 660.17$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc706…faedbacked No | 73c | 535.62$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 73c | 526$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d08…763ebacked Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 27c | 375$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…3e87backed Yes | 28c | 295.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…409bbacked Yes | 29c | 224.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 20c | 174.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 166.02$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 73c | 121.92$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 27c | 111.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x446b…c75cbacked Yes | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf96…7d12backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 74.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 28c | 71.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 58.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 74c | 41.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 27c | 41.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2219…a5e9backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b6…e5b3backed Yes | 29c | 38.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9c…a18fbacked No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Espanyol vs. Villarreal end in a draw?this page
- Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-08?No won
- Will Villarreal win on 2025-11-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.