TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2af6…ff10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Earnings at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+56.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$139.19
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$142.35
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$393.97
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$404.55
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$551.43
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$124
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$141.24
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.16
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.96
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.84
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$66.6
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$240.9
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.63
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$37.13
Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$219.45
All 18 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+37.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.33per pick47cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$63.92
Galatasaray SK vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$31.9
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$30.94
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$41.33
Toronto FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$23.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+101.7%+$78.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$83.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Choosin' Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+27.5%+$21.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Robinhood say "Billion" 10+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.