TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$219,584

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf31a…8fbcbacked No0c24,178$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No0c18,130$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6910849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e3d…c0cdbacked No0c15,231$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.79333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes58c7,356$4,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,092.025939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e2…5fc9backed No42c7,214$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,004.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked Yes71c5,788$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.39771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes60c3,175$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.081050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+59.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x495a…d3efbacked No1c2,722$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054d…27bfbacked Yes68c2,316$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes68c2,129$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.8811843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No24c2,066$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.663122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3504…a4bfbacked No1c2,046$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes74c1,661$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.711916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e0…6ea7backed No1c1,560$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed Yes73c1,506$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.884156.1%23 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72012354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No37c1,481$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.220241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a1…af66backed Yes23c1,425$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.23828.9%11 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed No1c1,386$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1e…0842backed Yes70c1,275$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x141a…ff35backed Yes62c1,229$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+149%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed Yes78c1,189$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.92850%14 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes25c1,188$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.283458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes63c1,188$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.826119.7%12 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes60c1,182$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.222250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18be…cf27backed No1c1,165$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No43c1,159$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.7213048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf56e…1a92backed Yes66c1,142$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked No36c1,111$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed No2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-69%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes71c988.15$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.184040%16 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x413a…0008backed No30c984.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes62c928.44$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.672222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes62c878.33$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.551838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid-30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes76c797.4$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.854233.3%14 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes61c768.73$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.212373.9%17 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick49cpaid+60.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No37c601.51$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.84742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x757c…ef9cbacked Yes60c599.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed No17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961637.5%6 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.20per pick18cpaid+118.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes71c559.83$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.823956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes59c527.11$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.913565.7%23 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed No25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa80a…ee43backed Yes61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Yes70c500$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ad…6866backed No37c478.66$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No30c459.93$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.68847.7%42 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+28.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No26c458.67$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.910953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8491…f31fbacked Yes73c458.52$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…fc98backed No5c450$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd4…c504backed Yes71c423.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Yes71c419.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.981369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No36c402.85$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.921758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9331…b246backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick67cpaid+52.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No38c400$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1418250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0b2…a23dbacked Yes68c387.63$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…823bbacked Yes72c385.49$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.491764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes60c362$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.573716.2%6 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No23c332.99$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.596238.7%24 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No25c319.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.61175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No29c318.01$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.71877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed No49c302.14$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.982222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d6…dd0cbacked No71c301$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d40…8585backed Yes70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da6…107abacked Yes68c292.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f2…93d3backed Yes69c291.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes67c278.21$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.5527236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No27c272.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.395529.1%16 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes79c269.07$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.432634.6%9 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0d…fbb3backed Yes74c250.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.261040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-40%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c9b…c668backed Yes21c250$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick13cpaid-31.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No39c249.3$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.182927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2af6…ff10backed Yes73c242.47$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.47887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcc…e74cbacked No41c239.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.26922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-71.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6460…8685backed Yes73c232.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a0…db2ebacked No31c216.95$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.971936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No38c215.73$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9220832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d2…11d8backed Yes61c212.4$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No44c212.15$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Yes71c209$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.721566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes55c206.56$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.955552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ae…4325backed Yes37c205.62$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.42560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick25cpaid+127.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes71c204.63$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.967463.5%47 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes58c202.54$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No74c200$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14838048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa10d…8accbacked Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa534…c089backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…5a97backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed No28c199.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4910341.7%43 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe241…ba7abacked Yes18c198.75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+134.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32d…a303backed Yes63c197.48$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No30c196.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.968060%48 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a0…e584backed Yes65c182.73$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes62c179.74$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.022100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…6ccdbacked Yes76c176.9$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2a8…4d27backed Yes71c173.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.434729.8%14 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a1d…3761backed Yes58c171.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.81250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…db52backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60a…84c3backed No30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.