TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$108,861
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,861 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x55e2…5fc9backed Yes40c10,134$4,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf56e…1a92backed Yes31c4,735$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-49.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes38c4,081$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.527236.4%99 W · 173 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84c2…3a00backed Yes19c4,034$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$781.6260%0 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes30c3,441$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.1713048.5%63 W · 67 L+11.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No60c3,149$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2582250%11 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf488…0c6dbacked Yes34c2,967$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.33333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No80c2,231$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.7512354.5%67 W · 56 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No59c2,107$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.215939%23 W · 36 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x73af…b880backed Yes37c2,007$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.7450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+117.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes11c1,731$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.16119.7%12 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes32c1,490$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1318250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked No61c1,375$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.1910849.1%53 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes36c1,247$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No74c1,150$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.0610953.2%58 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes36c899$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6411843.2%51 W · 67 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes40c800$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3202250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Yes25c799.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No65c784.43$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2773122.6%7 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No73c767.73$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3320241.6%84 W · 118 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Yes33c726.29$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.685552.7%29 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes43c700$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.131330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked Yes30c622$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No63c621.1$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e54…7ff1backed Yes16c583.76$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.991428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a0…db2ebacked Yes31c572.1$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.061936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes17c553.25$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.481877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x356f…639fbacked Yes28c549.43$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.74911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes30c522.9$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0320832.2%67 W · 141 L-17.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes26c505.52$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ad…6866backed No65c476.16$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes18c451.46$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.451040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes20c438.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.252222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-55.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0020…4610backed Yes23c436.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde7e…396bbacked Yes29c426.31$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.89911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-72.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes14c389.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.99922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes21c382.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.27463.5%47 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d3…2406backed Yes26c379.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef25…c969backed Yes27c376.54$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f2…93d3backed Yes27c372.63$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-51.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf4…4fe5backed Yes22c369.09$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8170%0 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcc…e74cbacked No80c356.51$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.79922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-71.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb00…50b0backed Yes25c347.88$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes15c327$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.596735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No78c323.75$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.291758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6fd…b171backed Yes36c314.96$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No70c314.42$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.053243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x098e…6fa2backed No64c298.98$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.156238.7%24 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes34c296.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes34c292.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004531.1%14 W · 31 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Yes14c277.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.6460%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No79c255.67$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.488149.4%40 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed No76c254.94$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.414100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72ce…c9b5backed Yes18c250.31$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.993116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-42.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes24c250.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.971442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes17c243.76$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.67175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-59.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x829f…a98bbacked No75c240$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8a4…6e0bbacked Yes18c239.03$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d4…453bbacked No74c230.55$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+38.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f65…861ebacked Yes43c229.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-67.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No58c221.44$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.011747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes19c220.04$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.814040%16 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes46c217.26$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af9…a022backed Yes22c208.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.871566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No69c206.85$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.475738.6%22 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbb9…5d3fbacked Yes38c205$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.15742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdb…4496backed No60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71af…dd01backed Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222450%12 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Yes35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7070%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9722…8758backed Yes36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.13540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes22c199.99$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.510341.7%43 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No69c198.39$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x585b…753fbacked Yes38c195.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.39812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x817c…9e7cbacked Yes25c192.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.41742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e62…0b71backed Yes22c181.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No66c174.68$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes7c168.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.742718.5%5 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick9cpaid+165.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes33c158$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.68944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x467a…ee0dbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4ff…4c16backed Yes42c154.76$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd114…aec6backed Yes27c147.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked No71c144$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.76837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-44.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes35c143.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes26c143$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.181145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa848…8a1fbacked Yes26c141$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes22c140.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid+206.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed No74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0df…a1dbbacked Yes18c134.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.42560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+152%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e1b…b266backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2c…b7f8backed Yes42c129.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.441540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81c6…1110backed Yes24c122.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes29c120.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353941%16 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb069…9568backed Yes41c120$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.22060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b77…b9f5backed Yes21c120$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No59c110$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…6ccdbacked Yes18c109.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No62c107$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.661838.9%7 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid-30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-44.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0c…9d02backed Yes23c102.96$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.