Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c2d38b100d4c59ef8021abdd4bfd0fa2ff01445b8c689e63be1b77c590d884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $357,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $429,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed No | 59c | 31,200$18,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,407.99 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…66b9backed Yes | 43c | 25,984$11,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,822.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 57c | 25,238$14,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,385.79 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 42c | 25,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,499.89 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 42c | 20,376$8,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,737 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes | 42c | 20,000$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,699.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked No | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes | 43c | 13,971$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,971.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 58c | 12,903$7,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,484.02 | 211 | 54.5%115 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 41c | 11,239$4,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 43c | 11,125$4,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,385.8 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked No | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 9,040$4,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.16 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 9c | 8,810$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.9 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 57c | 8,143$4,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,672.95 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 58c | 7,862$4,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.36 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 57c | 7,433$4,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,236.94 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 42c | 6,881$2,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.98 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 21c | 4,729$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.08 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 39c | 4,187$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.98 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 25c | 4,020$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.98 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 43c | 4,000$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 3,970$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.66 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed No | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed No | 11c | 3,101$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.26 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,475 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Yes | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 3c | 2,188$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 74c | 2,031$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.65 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked No | 58c | 2,003$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 465 | 51.8%241 W · 224 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 42c | 1,755$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.15 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed No | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Yes | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 19c | 1,528$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.32 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 43c | 1,447$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.51 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…14efbacked Yes | 69c | 1,432$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed No | 60c | 1,357$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.27 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked No | 58c | 1,081$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…a0e2backed Yes | 42c | 1,007$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…1cc5backed No | 58c | 999.98$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 42c | 999.98$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 42c | 959.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.16 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed No | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 41c | 818.01$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.57 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 44c | 802.33$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.05 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 41c | 731.69$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.7 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 58c | 600$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 43c | 541.05$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.4 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 24c | 518.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.24 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked No | 57c | 517.73$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.93 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked No | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed No | 58c | 477.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5549…ad60backed Yes | 42c | 474.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 56c | 422.26$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.46 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed No | 21c | 390.11$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked No | 13c | 386.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes | 43c | 351.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6665…2f44backed Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6964backed No | 58c | 350$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed No | 57c | 349.97$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Yes | 43c | 349.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.56 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf075…6e4abacked Yes | 42c | 334$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 42c | 333.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.33 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47d…8688backed Yes | 42c | 330$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Yes | 42c | 328.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 36c | 301.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 130 | 5.4%7 W · 123 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 41c | 249.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 57c | 241.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 157 | 64.3%101 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Yes | 42c | 240$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.2 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 42c | 233.33$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 59c | 228.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…8924backed No | 59c | 227.87$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 13c | 215.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc5…197fbacked No | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 42c | 173.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.81 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…a537backed No | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked No | 59c | 157.63$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 58c | 149.96$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 43c | 135.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.23 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked No | 59c | 134.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 56c | 130.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?No won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.