Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70257d9dbc0fe5f168b06b8f775a7029653d38c15f6acd476d8c8b377156f41c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cb6…76e0backed Yes | 20c | 16,255$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,542$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.7 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 72c | 7,500$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 79c | 4,253$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.11 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 78c | 3,811$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.78 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 7c | 3,555$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.84 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc0…e50ebacked Yes | 29c | 2,931$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 72c | 2,477$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.13 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.97 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 1,539$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.22 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 72c | 1,031$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.68 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…a0e2backed Yes | 29c | 1,013$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 28c | 864.64$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 70c | 799.81$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.43 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 26c | 761.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 22c | 434$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.39 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 375.59$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.61 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 7c | 356.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 276.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 267.09$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 9c | 251.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +44%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…446bbacked Yes | 29c | 230$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 27c | 218.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…bce6backed Yes | 24c | 172.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…37d7backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…409bbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 16c | 151.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 77c | 142.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Yes | 28c | 116.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -8.3wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf340…9369backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…147abacked Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 29c | 86.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…4118backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe08…40bebacked No | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…87babacked Yes | 28c | 81.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed Yes | 28c | 81.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…127dbacked Yes | 29c | 78.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…a276backed Yes | 29c | 72.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…b9c9backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…830ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 24c | 63.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed No | 72c | 59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…0007backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 79c | 54.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…3cf3backed Yes | 27c | 50.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…770ebacked No | 73c | 49.38$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 23c | 43.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfac7…cf83backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb6…48d6backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 76c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64b…7b63backed No | 73c | 19.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 71c | 16.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-09?Yes won
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.