TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfc88…770e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST3345.5%15 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Hornetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.55
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$73.16
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$208
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$29.29
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45.45
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$99
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$78
Kings vs. Jazzbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$63.99
Heat vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$46.46
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+117.4%+$108
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$34.91
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$67.57
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+525%+$84.84
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+152.9%+$147.52
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38.9%+$83.93
Hawks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+52.7%+$22.67
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$71.75
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25.25
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$21.21
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.94
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$92.4
Wizards vs. Timberwolvesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18.92
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$57
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$19.24
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$36.53
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$345.6
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+100%+$200
Will Villarreal CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+86%+$96.26
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$105
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28.28
Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.88
Will Levante UD win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$46.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$47.6
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$114
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$224.22
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$48.48
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.1%+$58.85
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+132.6%+$25.18
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$40.4
Will Aston Villa vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37.2%+$13.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+53.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$19.72
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+185.7%+$185.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+462.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Boise State Broncosbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+462.2%+$109.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Pointsbacked Even · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$54.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+104.1%+$489.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+25%+$58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$96
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$65.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.