La Liga · resolved market

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-08?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf4204a40b064163164f16b1eb32bb29cb13b70284fe5a0e9e433d6e2d370a80

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $108,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $125,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,123 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	53c	12,790$6,745 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,044.93	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	22c	8,712$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,939.9	1,419	45.6%647 W · 772 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	19c	5,744$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.29	3,449	43%1,484 W · 1,965 L	+32.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No	77c	4,867$3,748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,747.59	204	49.5%101 W · 103 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes	23c	3,417$772 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,645.34	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes	23c	3,000$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,310	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes	24c	2,617$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,988.67	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	42cpaid	+87%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	77c	2,442$1,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,880.42	1,798	51.4%924 W · 874 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes	23c	2,223$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,721.64	154	46.1%71 W · 83 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed No	37c	2,162$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No	12c	2,156$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.13	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed No	77c	2,110$1,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,625	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	57cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No	33c	2,000$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$668	213	22.1%47 W · 166 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked No	4c	1,999$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.97	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked No	79c	1,585$1,252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.53	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	71cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	7c	1,479$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.13	608	32.4%197 W · 411 L	-12.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	76c	1,272$970 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.17	2,343	48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No	78c	1,250$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	29	69%20 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes	24c	1,121$267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$853.82	80	75%60 W · 20 L	+13.9wins	+0.17per pick	58cpaid	+39.8%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes	23c	1,076$242 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.63	908	43.6%396 W · 512 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No	76c	999.64$759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$759.38	96	56.3%54 W · 42 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No	4c	893.33$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.85	228	59.6%136 W · 92 L	+18.2wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes	22c	866.14$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$673.93	428	51.4%220 W · 208 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes	24c	631.18$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.18	31	29%9 W · 22 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No	78c	500$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No	75c	500$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375	79	53.2%42 W · 37 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.67	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No	76c	400$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	227	46.7%106 W · 121 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No	15c	353$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.41	290	38.6%112 W · 178 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No	31c	322.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No	79c	313.25$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.31	154	43.5%67 W · 87 L	-13.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No	77c	300$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	206	42.7%88 W · 118 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No	77c	300$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231	239	47.7%114 W · 125 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No	76c	263.2$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.03	95	54.7%52 W · 43 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes	23c	260.87$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.87	67	53.7%36 W · 31 L	+5.1wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No	76c	259$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.04	836	50.7%424 W · 412 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8a…cd17backed Yes	25c	256.36$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.27	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	23c	248.63$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.45	890	50%445 W · 445 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No	5c	230$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No	7c	199.51$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.97	80	45%36 W · 44 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No	22c	177$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	152	46.1%70 W · 82 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed Yes	23c	173.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.91	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc049…7a80backed Yes	23c	173.91$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.91	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.24per pick	26cpaid	+86.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed No	77c	129.87$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	136	68.4%93 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ac…64e1backed No	78c	128.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d1…7618backed No	78c	128.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	71cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14fb…678abacked Yes	23c	117.39$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.39	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+31%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	68c	102.32$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.54	1,018	53.1%541 W · 477 L	-24.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75	192	37.5%72 W · 120 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	140	23.6%33 W · 107 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked No	33c	100$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes	24c	100$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce53…834bbacked No	76c	98.2$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.63	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.7wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes	23c	86.96$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.96	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-4.8wins	-0.11per pick	21cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked No	37c	81.08$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	421	58%244 W · 177 L	+29.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2563…f946backed Yes	25c	80$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	138	44.9%62 W · 76 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes	65c	75$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.25	82	68.3%56 W · 26 L	+14.7wins	+0.18per pick	50cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes	24c	73.24$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.66	240	52.9%127 W · 113 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d77…bc86backed No	78c	64.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	75cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes	22c	64.1$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	95	45.3%43 W · 52 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8deb…0139backed No	78c	64.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.17per pick	73cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc88…770ebacked No	77c	60$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	25c	60$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed No	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes	24c	54.17$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.17	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x657e…9fa5backed No	76c	52.34$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7226…873dbacked Yes	26c	50.28$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.17	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+28.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes	21c	50$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	115	41.7%48 W · 67 L	+8.1wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93b5…42e7backed Yes	24c	49.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.99	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes	24c	43.44$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.23	203	53.7%109 W · 94 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes	32c	43$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.14	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	75c	40$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	140	44.3%62 W · 78 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes	25c	40$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No	76c	38.46$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.04	532	42.3%225 W · 307 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No	48c	33.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	168	38.1%64 W · 104 L	-10.1wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bbd…6575backed No	76c	32.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	71cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No	76c	32.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	65	53.8%35 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes	62c	30$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	572	52.1%298 W · 274 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e0…b300backed No	35c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes	55c	28.19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.81	278	50%139 W · 139 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4161…c578backed No	78c	23.08$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	69cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x92bc…6125backed No	76c	22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.72	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No	62c	20.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.87	156	43.6%68 W · 88 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bd…6504backed No	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No	75c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+4.5wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed No	80c	20$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	+4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3870…a9dabacked No	77c	17.77$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.57per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28ad…0614backed Yes	65c	15.95$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.58	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c7…d11ebacked No	77c	15.41$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.87	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed No	78c	15.38$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	64	53.1%34 W · 30 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No	76c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	276	53.6%148 W · 128 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-08?this page
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?No won
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-08?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event