La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8248d57b9eff9bec8ae60c1905c11046c65be5aff1813819151c28eee2c31b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 4,445$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.94 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 3,181$2,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.01 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…a303backed Yes | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,765$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.81 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,946$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.49 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 64c | 1,513$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 1,491$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.38 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked No | 55c | 1,417$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Yes | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 154 | 46.1%71 W · 83 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed No | 53c | 1,018$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.4 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 13c | 960$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Yes | 1c | 899.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dce…b663backed No | 62c | 896$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…2d79backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 64c | 634$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.24 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 568.51$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 66c | 554$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.01 | 80 | 75%60 W · 20 L | +13.9wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed No | 65c | 415.38$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a9…45ffbacked No | 64c | 399.38$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.78 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 32c | 331$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5528…c098backed Yes | 35c | 314.29$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 66c | 313.33$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.93 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 65c | 293.89$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 38c | 271$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.08 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 37c | 258$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.46 | 337 | 34.7%117 W · 220 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 35c | 254.45$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 37c | 216.22$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 64c | 189.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x956a…c48ebacked Yes | 13c | 174.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…1fe8backed No | 61c | 162.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 58c | 146$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Yes | 36c | 145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 63c | 142$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 35c | 128$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea99…f13ebacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Yes | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…63fcbacked No | 66c | 64.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 36c | 61.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b8…8712backed Yes | 41c | 60.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Yes | 28c | 59.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b8…1417backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 27c | 55.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 46c | 54.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b5…42e7backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d06…5dddbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 35c | 41.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 39c | 39.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…f4ffbacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d9…2f4abacked No | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 32.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked Yes | 38c | 31.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…05f2backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 64c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 66c | 19.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-08?No won
- Will Getafe CF win on 2026-02-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.