TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Villarreal CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,296

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c22,833$5,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,462.174,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No76c12,110$9,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,906.356357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No76c10,498$7,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.497455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No77c9,436$7,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,164.3390843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No72c7,500$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1002748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes28c7,488$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.6469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f18…2d79backed Yes26c4,231$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb24f…38cfbacked No74c2,940$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes24c2,400$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5765125.5%13 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes3c2,226$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.551,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed No74c1,455$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c1,363$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.022,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed No77c1,158$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.344663%29 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No79c1,109$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.7149057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes24c1,086$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7132645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes25c1,042$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2607534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes4c1,017$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.864216.7%7 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick13cpaid+162.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2104238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed No77c910$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes24c807$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6830634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No76c799.97$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4542851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No76c684.21$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.211566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae05…a67ebacked Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No76c599.51$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8889050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No77c441.34$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.517851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7839…54cbbacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes24c373$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5220449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…50c3backed Yes24c333.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c322$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes24c318.26$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.079840.8%40 W · 58 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes24c305$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.250243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5528…c098backed Yes23c260.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes24c241.67$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd857…c092backed No74c239.58$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes26c230.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604440.9%18 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xaa9d…8ce0backed Yes11c221.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.41758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d29…5111backed Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21eb…839cbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-50.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x207f…793bbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-51.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes22c207.66$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Yes24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes8c197.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.393,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c189.72$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.791,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Yes24c187.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d9…6964backed Yes24c158.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes11c138.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Yes24c138.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.164422.7%10 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No76c137.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes24c137.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.873964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.876553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a23…f4ffbacked Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+22.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No77c118.18$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.185950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes18c115.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4615643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc88…770ebacked Yes24c112$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.881250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No76c110$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.28075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa717…3bbebacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2462744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa787…a9d1backed No75c95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95bb…213abacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019130.4%58 W · 133 L-0.6wins0.00per pick31cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c83$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7833734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes23c82.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.977623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3692…e8edbacked Yes28c78.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b49…ceb4backed Yes24c78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No76c73.38$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.611,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Yes24c73.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes25c71.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.85825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f9…eb87backed Yes24c67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205427.8%15 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes24c62.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…1849backed Yes24c56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9c…e966backed Yes24c54.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.031936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e3…b088backed Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ded…a789backed Yes24c54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes23c52.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211541.7%48 W · 67 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1210270.6%72 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes24c46.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3227850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No76c45.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8711751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d7e…0b15backed Yes24c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed No76c42.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0218564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84a5…45bfbacked Yes24c42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No75c38.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.858045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed No76c37.14$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8117660.2%106 W · 70 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed No76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.321963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e85…443ebacked No77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.63171%22 W · 9 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+36.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1105…b163backed No73c15.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.212100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed No77c13.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.012365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.