TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1105…b163

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT2259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.58
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.01
Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.51
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.78
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.03
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$12.76
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.1
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
Spurs vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$16.9
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+53%+$9.12
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+105.3%+$20.42
Kings vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.63
Spread: Bulls (-3.5)backed Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.13
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.29
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+66.7%+$6.79
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.99
Pistons vs. Nuggets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+222.6%+$23.84
Trail Blazers vs. Celtics: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$10.1
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+108%+$17.63
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+109.3%+$22.97
All 22 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.59
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14.38
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+107.6%+$17.94
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+56%+$10.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.08
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.67
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.62
Counter-Strike: paiN vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$17.27
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+189.1%+$34.04
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$16.13
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+118.9%+$20.41
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.98
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+84.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+93.2%+$10.15
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATX Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.47
Australian Open Women's: Elena Rybakina vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$8.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$6.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.