Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf135dd926b1a96ded2b0be2c2c15a7b5c7e6c9fa77c3a0bc8f9802a4d091a7d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indiana Hoosiersof Purdue Boilermakers, Indiana Hoosiers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 8,384$4,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361.94 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 7,247$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.27 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 6,767$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,518.84 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 6,732$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 6,532$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,396.53 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Purdue Boilermakers | 51c | 2,033$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 1,819$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.75 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 1,242$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.84 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 575$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…85edbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 285.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.45 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 235.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 230$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 211.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 199.98$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…0546backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 109.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…1950backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…789fbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…8f40backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 39.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 27.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a92…ebe3backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 25.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…b163backed Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 23.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 21.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 19.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)this page
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana HoosiersIndiana Hoosiers won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 149.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Purdue Boilermakers vs. Indiana Hoosiers: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.