NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7129ffbf6961fbafdb31a9c33648e07d0c09d82ca2260efd34fb806897abde31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $196,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $196,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $196,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 52c | 109,260$56,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,549.35 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 67,255$32,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,389.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Over | 52c | 8,568$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.84 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Under | 49c | 7,286$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552.36 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 5,927$2,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,882.75 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Over | 50c | 5,720$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87a6…7866backed Over | 49c | 5,444$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,776.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 50c | 4,866$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 4,768$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfc…006abacked Over | 49c | 4,701$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b66…22e7backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 3,984$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.09 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 3,735$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.98 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…a354backed Under | 51c | 3,544$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75a…093dbacked Over | 49c | 3,200$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.99 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…06a6backed Under | 51c | 2,955$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…2ddebacked Over | 49c | 2,888$1,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 2,884$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.17 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4c…fc32backed Under | 51c | 2,544$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x426c…3253backed Over | 49c | 2,255$1,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd73…03bebacked Under | 51c | 2,200$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d68…e87abacked Under | 51c | 1,888$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 48c | 1,862$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.88 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 1,752$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.29 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 48c | 1,538$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 54c | 1,499$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.54 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…f0edbacked Under | 51c | 1,356$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 49c | 999.96$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.98 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 984.67$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.88 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 799.98$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.99 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Over | 50c | 766$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 701.94$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.11 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 50c | 674$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 49c | 590.35$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.52 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 429.04$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.23 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 250.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 49c | 227.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.31 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 146$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 49c | 119.39$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…0272backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 182 | 33%60 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 52c | 96.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 49c | 92.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 53c | 76.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 50c | 63.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 51c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 48c | 51.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 256 | 55.5%142 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 48c | 51.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 301 | 51.8%156 W · 145 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Over | 50c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…9f9cbacked Over | 51c | 40.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9561…ae8abacked Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Under | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 128 | 41.4%53 W · 75 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c33…9ac6backed Over | 50c | 36.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Under | 59c | 35.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 35.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd337…8f07backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 53c | 30.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 51c | 29.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Under | 47c | 29.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…b163backed Under | 51c | 20.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 215 | 53.5%115 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. RaptorsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.