TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$274,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over49c86,206$42,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,955.4343542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c35,607$18,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,466.351,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c20,514$10,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,412.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under50c16,750$8,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,417.732,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over50c8,896$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,470.5622648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85a6…9491backed Over48c5,333$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,773.16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Under50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf426…0097backed Under52c4,975$2,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb5…4779backed Under52c4,905$2,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,550.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167d…2033backed Under52c4,888$2,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over49c4,708$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,419.476,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1d…74c2backed Under48c4,477$2,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb83…a645backed Over48c4,421$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4eb1…810cbacked Over52c4,256$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16c1…f587backed Over48c4,121$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf80d…7521backed Under52c3,985$2,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…5e82backed Over48c3,878$1,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Under50c3,796$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.8459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa521…b8d1backed Under48c3,658$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,759.66250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7097…4021backed Under52c3,567$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c3,370$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f8…6aafbacked Under48c3,366$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x903c…1695backed Over48c3,322$1,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f07…d60bbacked Over52c3,182$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,527.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbfa…c707backed Over48c3,131$1,503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,628.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under53c3,000$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.9980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d6…f0d5backed Under48c2,855$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c9f…2499backed Over52c2,756$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4d…0ccebacked Over48c2,622$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x170b…4999backed Over52c2,575$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,236250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c2,540$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.854,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a24…7f74backed Over52c2,522$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under54c2,520$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36112649.2%62 W · 64 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under51c2,510$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28065750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d65…e160backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c2,460$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.434,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48fa…602bbacked Under48c2,456$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4402…724ebacked Under48c2,433$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7101…f7fbbacked Under52c2,421$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.9220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Under54c2,412$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,298.61,08563.6%690 W · 395 L+86.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+13%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2eac…4c26backed Under48c2,354$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6484…d415backed Under52c2,332$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,212.6430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf781…d88dbacked Under48c2,253$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…40d2backed Over52c2,201$1,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c2,164$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.023,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x513d…a28abacked Over52c2,136$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddda…858abacked Over52c2,100$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,008250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Over47c2,043$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.5524847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a41…e8f2backed Under48c2,022$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af9…213dbacked Under48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd276…685cbacked Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02019147.6%91 W · 100 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12cc…7ee1backed Under48c1,878$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa7…ebb9backed Under48c1,865$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over47c1,820$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.635749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dda…be08backed Under52c1,755$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc953…631fbacked Over52c1,673$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0d…3211backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b50…2f69backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b0…5f4abacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc85c…370cbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaad7…5f10backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d67…b59cbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x090f…78c2backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2156…6bb2backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x785c…9401backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60d2…0acdbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6927…36adbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaafb…2d7dbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ff…eb8bbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc97a…3d88backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe794…3089backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x678e…e3f0backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298b…a163backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e1…0cd7backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f54…d1c4backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9c…d68abacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1802…a8b8backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15f…0745backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe417…78e4backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e6a…67a5backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ca…27b7backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd948…ce1fbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d7…28d2backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58e8…2e18backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…be2ebacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa458…8f23backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aeb…8f3fbacked Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c0…bababacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcffd…ce60backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7474…f082backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd492…4c74backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…8151backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6490…49f7backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49bf…908dbacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdca8…fe98backed Under50c1,480$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82d…d7cebacked Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x335b…04c3backed Over50c1,480$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7402100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.