NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ea723101a71aef015890fa3e71dda0dcefb3d029f66e1fee977fae648346d78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $271,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $274,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Over | 49c | 86,206$42,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,955.43 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 35,607$18,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,466.35 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 20,514$10,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,412.76 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 16,750$8,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,417.73 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 50c | 8,896$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,470.56 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a6…9491backed Over | 48c | 5,333$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf426…0097backed Under | 52c | 4,975$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,587 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb5…4779backed Under | 52c | 4,905$2,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…2033backed Under | 52c | 4,888$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 4,708$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,419.47 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1d…74c2backed Under | 48c | 4,477$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb83…a645backed Over | 48c | 4,421$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…810cbacked Over | 52c | 4,256$2,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,042.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c1…f587backed Over | 48c | 4,121$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80d…7521backed Under | 52c | 3,985$2,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…5e82backed Over | 48c | 3,878$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 3,796$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.84 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…b8d1backed Under | 48c | 3,658$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7097…4021backed Under | 52c | 3,567$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 53c | 3,370$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.4 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f8…6aafbacked Under | 48c | 3,366$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…1695backed Over | 48c | 3,322$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,727.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f07…d60bbacked Over | 52c | 3,182$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfa…c707backed Over | 48c | 3,131$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 3,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d6…f0d5backed Under | 48c | 2,855$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9f…2499backed Over | 52c | 2,756$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4d…0ccebacked Over | 48c | 2,622$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4999backed Over | 52c | 2,575$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,540$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.85 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…7f74backed Over | 52c | 2,522$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Under | 54c | 2,520$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 2,510$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…e160backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 2,460$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fa…602bbacked Under | 48c | 2,456$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4402…724ebacked Under | 48c | 2,433$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…f7fbbacked Under | 52c | 2,421$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd529…f0d4backed Under | 54c | 2,412$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.6 | 1,085 | 63.6%690 W · 395 L | +86.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2eac…4c26backed Under | 48c | 2,354$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6484…d415backed Under | 52c | 2,332$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf781…d88dbacked Under | 48c | 2,253$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…40d2backed Over | 52c | 2,201$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 2,164$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513d…a28abacked Over | 52c | 2,136$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddda…858abacked Over | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 47c | 2,043$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.55 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a41…e8f2backed Under | 48c | 2,022$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…213dbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd276…685cbacked Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12cc…7ee1backed Under | 48c | 1,878$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…ebb9backed Under | 48c | 1,865$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 47c | 1,820$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.6 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dda…be08backed Under | 52c | 1,755$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…631fbacked Over | 52c | 1,673$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0d…3211backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b50…2f69backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b0…5f4abacked Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85c…370cbacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5f10backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d67…b59cbacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…78c2backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…6bb2backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785c…9401backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d2…0acdbacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6927…36adbacked Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaafb…2d7dbacked Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ff…eb8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…3d88backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…3089backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…e3f0backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…a163backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e1…0cd7backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f54…d1c4backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9c…d68abacked Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…a8b8backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb15f…0745backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe417…78e4backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6a…67a5backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…27b7backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd948…ce1fbacked Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…28d2backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e8…2e18backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…be2ebacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa458…8f23backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…8f3fbacked Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c0…bababacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…ce60backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…f082backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…4c74backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…8151backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…49f7backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bf…908dbacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca8…fe98backed Under | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…d7cebacked Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335b…04c3backed Over | 50c | 1,480$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. RaptorsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.