NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x957f8d62faca3fcd1fdeed87123ac9a658b06354af613507ce399a3f5e93f4c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Raptors, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $599,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $603,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Thunder | 55c | 435,542$239,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195,995.79 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Raptors | 45c | 417,830$188,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188,023.64 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Thunder | 52c | 28,019$14,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,449.2 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Raptors | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Raptors | 47c | 24,394$11,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,464.38 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 54c | 17,471$9,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,015.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 51c | 13,665$6,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,728.96 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 44c | 8,635$3,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.31 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Thunder | 52c | 7,489$3,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,615.46 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 52c | 6,829$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,294.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Thunder | 52c | 5,983$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.99 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Raptors | 48c | 4,595$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.6 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Raptors | 50c | 4,109$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.12 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Raptors | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Raptors | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 44c | 3,107$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Raptors | 47c | 3,102$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.14 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Thunder | 56c | 2,893$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.85 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Raptors | 48c | 2,797$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.56 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Thunder | 57c | 2,464$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.52 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Raptors | 51c | 2,443$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.95 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Raptors | 44c | 2,028$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.97 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Thunder | 56c | 1,992$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.59 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Raptors | 50c | 1,930$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.92 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Thunder | 56c | 1,926$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.33 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Thunder | 56c | 1,789$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.09 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Thunder | 56c | 1,293$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.92 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Raptors | 15c | 1,157$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.14 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Raptors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Thunder | 60c | 847.54$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.65 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Raptors | 48c | 700$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.64 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Thunder | 52c | 674.53$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.53 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -12.5wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Thunder | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Raptors | 48c | 499.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.71 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Raptors | 41c | 462.73$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.92 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Raptors | 52c | 461.52$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Thunder | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…3d49backed Raptors | 53c | 445.72$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 61c | 360$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 45c | 335.68$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raptors | 47c | 308.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.07 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Raptors | 49c | 304.58$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.72 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…2108backed Thunder | 56c | 302.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.1 | 358 | 44.1%158 W · 200 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Thunder | 54c | 297$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.61 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Thunder | 56c | 262.7$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 343 | 42.9%147 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Thunder | 61c | 236.07$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 274 | 63.5%174 W · 100 L | +34.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…5ebbbacked Raptors | 21c | 203.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Raptors | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +29.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…5d6fbacked Thunder | 56c | 168.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 231 | 44.2%102 W · 129 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Thunder | 56c | 158.51$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Raptors | 22c | 148.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Raptors | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Thunder | 54c | 122.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Thunder | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Raptors | 48c | 114.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Thunder | 53c | 110.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Thunder | 51c | 109.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…5f59backed Thunder | 56c | 103.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Thunder | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b70…3102backed Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…1f54backed Raptors | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc212…c8ebbacked Thunder | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Thunder | 54c | 98$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.41 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Raptors | 14c | 95.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 106 | 23.6%25 W · 81 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058a…ed5cbacked Raptors | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…3152backed Thunder | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Raptors | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 456 | 51.1%233 W · 223 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3938…c6cbbacked Raptors | 49c | 85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.65 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d9…b214backed Thunder | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 218 | 54.6%119 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Thunder | 55c | 76.27$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Thunder | 56c | 75.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…ac0bbacked Raptors | 16c | 73.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Thunder | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Raptors | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Thunder | 52c | 67.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Thunder | 72c | 65.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Raptors | 48c | 62.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 51c | 59.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Raptors | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Raptors | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fad…374cbacked Thunder | 56c | 53.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…5eb1backed Thunder | 56c | 53.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23e0…ee84backed Raptors | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Raptors | 45c | 51.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 508 | 41.7%212 W · 296 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 31c | 51.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Raptors | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Raptors | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thunder | 58c | 49.93$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raptors | 50c | 49.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Raptors | 48c | 46.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 455 | 42.4%193 W · 262 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Thunder | 57c | 43.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Thunder | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Thunder | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Raptors | 50c | 39.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…3bfbbacked Thunder | 55c | 38.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Thunder | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 405 | 48.6%197 W · 208 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-0.5)Thunder won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Isaiah Joe: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Jamal Shead: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-1.5)Thunder won
- Thunder vs. RaptorsThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 215.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 216.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 218.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.