TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2269…6b01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst La Liga at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT14852%77 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 148 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.5
Pistons vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$69.02
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+41.5%+$21.5
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$12.95
Pacers vs. Clippersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.72
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.22
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$10
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$37.95
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.95
Thunder vs. Bullsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.67
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+25%+$9.01
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.09
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$70.04
Spread: 76ers (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+49.3%+$27.93
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Showing 25 of 148 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.06
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$103
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50.6
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$51.3
Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$312.82
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$404.52
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+115.3%+$88.87
Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$36.33
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Cameroon end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+140.3%+$140.22
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$99.94
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-72.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+83.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$23.33
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+127.3%+$39.54
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+38.5%+$14.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toledo Rockets vs. Central Michigan Chippewasbacked Central Michigan Chippewas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$125.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.