TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$533,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$661,348

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $533,876 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 336 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed No21c75,265$16,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,084.23441.2%14 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c70,012$31,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,834.84,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd62…8acfbacked Yes42c59,551$25,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,366.791650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No58c31,633$18,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,226.9714732%47 W · 100 L-0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c29,984$15,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,696.6776048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes41c25,000$10,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,75027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes43c22,737$9,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,965.1830031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No57c18,000$10,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,259.996132.8%20 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No58c17,000$9,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,849.9474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…3fa1backed No1c13,849$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.681225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Yes50c13,048$6,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,515.48944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes68c8,952$6,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.957433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes51c6,100$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.127740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a8…14f8backed Yes53c5,664$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,664.361478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No50c5,609$2,817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,817.4229343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c5,019$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,667.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No58c4,795$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,771.8528754.7%157 W · 130 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes46c4,239$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.0711354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3901…41b5backed No1c4,162$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.43728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+119.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes59c4,151$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.4946223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No2c4,088$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.196237.1%23 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No3c3,744$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.69446.8%3 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick5cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes43c3,554$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,025.9729232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No53c3,264$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.0834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x503d…cd16backed Yes43c3,023$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.264831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Yes43c3,007$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.585149%25 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.985349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No4c2,992$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.158332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x625f…9ff6backed Yes75c2,869$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.92977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c2,808$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.9621444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked No57c2,541$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.376152.5%32 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.992740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes43c2,499$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No55c2,440$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.255042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3273…5a11backed Yes43c2,324$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick37cpaid+112.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Yes54c2,258$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,028.941050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…1bd3backed Yes52c2,133$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.325450%27 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Yes48c2,070$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa461…833fbacked Yes55c2,005$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.243740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes54c1,999$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.5519150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed No55c1,809$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.135930.5%18 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked No57c1,700$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9691030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No48c1,645$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.951,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No15c1,584$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7316833.9%57 W · 111 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No1c1,564$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.267634.2%26 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked No18c1,546$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.699140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No56c1,500$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84022421%47 W · 177 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb556…14bfbacked No24c1,481$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.551315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2358…8986backed No58c1,469$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes43c1,437$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.213161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed No12c1,305$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No48c1,250$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.586253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes39c1,188$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.723622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.794434.1%15 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.163860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes48c1,006$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.44050%20 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58016647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854d…deb0backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003834.2%13 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+143.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No57c992.99$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5664353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…c40dbacked Yes44c991.45$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.545257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes48c925.11$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.465356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes43c860.47$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.472450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d43…bc5ebacked No58c822.37$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.99636.5%35 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes44c795.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.452365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Yes55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.52030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes77c724.13$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.559461.7%58 W · 36 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x895e…8f2cbacked Yes42c713.93$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01ec…585abacked Yes42c706.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.712955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes43c688.37$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.376229%18 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes43c651.16$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.1622551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No57c600.14$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.097045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes50c596.46$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.463158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes44c591.24$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.24666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No2c589.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.073412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x9959…eae7backed Yes43c544.53$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes78c541.9$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9125954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No35c528.63$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.6216841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes44c514.51$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9510838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9acb…d2c7backed Yes43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2851369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+54%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6894…3a44backed Yes56c492.68$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.68955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes43c439.53$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.534122%9 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…ec08backed No50c433.98$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.01425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c8f…2268backed Yes55c416.83$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72db…58b9backed No8c415.82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.29714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-80%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x87c3…2945backed Yes49c410.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.651566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes43c395.35$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.353228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84c2…14c2backed Yes51c380$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…a65dbacked Yes45c377.62$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.692334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…bfddbacked Yes49c374.78$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.141844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d16…85f3backed Yes55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.644040%16 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c94…2c0dbacked No56c360.71$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No25c359.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.49845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes49c355.81$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3617851.1%91 W · 87 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34ad…040abacked Yes42c355$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.91822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ce7…741cbacked No58c349.99$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed No42c345$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.92433.3%8 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0a9…8000backed Yes71c326.34$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.764344.2%19 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes50c326$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1632254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb56a…a485backed Yes58c307.14$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.142748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.