Fifa International · resolved market
Will Nigeria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc871a8c2a48156280d772870b60d7d58c30ab688b219867f03343aa6f287e547
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 3c | 4,770$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.66 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked No | 67c | 3,407$2,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.22 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…26d6backed Yes | 2c | 2,272$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 3c | 1,671$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 191 | 50.3%96 W · 95 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 12c | 1,590$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…04e4backed Yes | 34c | 1,487$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Yes | 28c | 1,269$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.09 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 33c | 1,102$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.66 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 1,035$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.05 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Yes | 13c | 997.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 146 | 20.5%30 W · 116 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…bfddbacked Yes | 10c | 678.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 33c | 609.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60f…9ea3backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc849…204dbacked Yes | 33c | 546.03$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 76c | 515.46$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.03 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…8009backed Yes | 20c | 472.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 33c | 336.63$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 203 | 22.7%46 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…eca0backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce0…32c9backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 79c | 266.46$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.22 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Yes | 13c | 232.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e69…bebebacked Yes | 22c | 224.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 215.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6579…b0a5backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 32c | 199.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 33c | 196.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…b019backed Yes | 10c | 177.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 31c | 168.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked Yes | 32c | 163$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb345…90d7backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd25c…bcbcbacked Yes | 34c | 148.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked No | 69c | 145.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d3…a77bbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 33c | 96.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae75…e41cbacked Yes | 21c | 95.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 33c | 93.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Yes | 32c | 91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +135%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…deffbacked Yes | 20c | 90.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 33c | 80.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x50a7…6713backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes | 33c | 63.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 94 | 63.8%60 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 31c | 63.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f4…4763backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…6455backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed No | 68c | 60.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 68c | 55.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc1…2a11backed Yes | 29c | 52.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…30c4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…dce6backed Yes | 32c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked No | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +140%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f32…9c3bbacked Yes | 33c | 42.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 35cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d32…fe50backed Yes | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0d89backed No | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063c…d642backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed No | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nigeria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?this page
- Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27?Yes won
- Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.