Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Dundee FC win on 2026-01-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b55eae9fa78f7faf93898e52a027e986b341875414779b9ae3364d932f809d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 27c | 3,770$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.76 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.86 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ff…b00abacked No | 73c | 1,633$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 19c | 1,511$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 73c | 1,155$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf41…5562backed No | 49c | 999.97$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +225.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 707.92$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.75 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 73c | 700$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…d129backed Yes | 58c | 671.92$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 78c | 650.47$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.37 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 10c | 429.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 52c | 282.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 20c | 265$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.7 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…8149backed No | 73c | 212.33$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked Yes | 62c | 161.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 72c | 138.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…0622backed Yes | 52c | 106.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e0…719cbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…de18backed Yes | 54c | 97.28$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 23c | 97.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.84 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 21c | 97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 73c | 85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6b01backed Yes | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0e…c6a8backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…c7e6backed Yes | 20c | 53.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 70c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 41c | 39.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…a597backed Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 26.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 50c | 26.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 77c | 24.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c7…848fbacked Yes | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd743…59bdbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b5…6d52backed Yes | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 78c | 19.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked No | 80c | 17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Dundee FC win on 2026-01-03?this page
- Will Dundee United FC vs. Dundee FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Dundee United FC win on 2026-01-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.