TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde2d…abba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Serie A, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$205
Will Leicester City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.09
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+79.9%+$21.72
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+93.1%+$83.15
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41.07
Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82.14
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.6
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$37.2
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+51.5%+$13.6
Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+525%+$52.57
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$51.48
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$104.81
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+109.6%+$312.05
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$63
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$47.84
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$54.87
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.92
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Warriors: O/U 241.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.27
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$73.5
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.84
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$47.79
Timberwolves vs. Heat: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$38.94
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$15.6
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+57.5%+$7.3
Thunder vs. Warriors: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+62.7%+$7.29
Spread: Suns (-13.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+108.3%+$19.72
Spread: Bucks (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Nuggets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+102.7%+$30.35
Spread: Nets (-1.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+67.5%+$124.9
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+30.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.87
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+138.1%+$68.47
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Granada CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.9
CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61.3%+$19
UD Almería vs. Granada CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+100%+$54.1
CD Castellón vs. SD Huesca: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$106
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$12.95
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$32.2
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$18.5
SD Eibar vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
Athletic Club vs. Real Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+31.6%+$66.37
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+56.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+56.2%+$33.67
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+334.8%+$38.5
Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$33.78
Spread: Genoa CFC (-1.5)backed Pisa SC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.52
Spread: US Sassuolo Calcio (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$13.37
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$31.99
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$64.4
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+79.8%+$130.92
Como 1907 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.39
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+66%+$23.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+127.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+75.7%+$469.6
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$907Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+178.7%+$1,620.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,011.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$1,017.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick38cpaid+166.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qairat FK vs. Páfos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+166.7%+$18.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wake Forest vs. Mississippi Statebacked Wake Forest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.