Tennis · resolved market
Erste Bank Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f203a5b4939044110f370b86f1bf8638ad2594cf27fba6187c8379214613f9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Etcheverry, Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Musetti | 76c | 21,237$16,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,117.26 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Etcheverry | 24c | 14,934$3,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,536.75 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Etcheverry | 0c | 6,661$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Musetti | 77c | 4,557$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.63 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Etcheverry | 24c | 4,189$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.98 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Etcheverry | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Etcheverry | 8c | 3,820$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.58 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf70c…72c1backed Etcheverry | 13c | 3,214$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.84 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…27bdbacked Etcheverry | 23c | 2,861$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.24 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Etcheverry | 10c | 2,293$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.46 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Etcheverry | 24c | 2,089$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.44 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Etcheverry | 24c | 1,790$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.82 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Etcheverry | 6c | 1,764$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.91 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Etcheverry | 26c | 1,750$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.88 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Etcheverry | 13c | 1,705$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Etcheverry | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Musetti | 77c | 750.29$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.57 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Etcheverry | 24c | 625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Etcheverry | 5c | 570.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Etcheverry | 24c | 545.6$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Etcheverry | 14c | 521.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Etcheverry | 22c | 408.56$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Etcheverry | 42c | 377$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Etcheverry | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d37…59b5backed Musetti | 77c | 280.64$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.55 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Musetti | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Etcheverry | 24c | 250.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Musetti | 77c | 234.58$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 236 | 70.8%167 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Musetti | 76c | 230.73$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x875c…d3e8backed Musetti | 77c | 214.29$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Etcheverry | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…ccb8backed Musetti | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Etcheverry | 26c | 193.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Etcheverry | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Musetti | 78c | 157.31$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Etcheverry | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…5976backed Musetti | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Musetti | 77c | 131.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Musetti | 77c | 130.65$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Musetti | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Musetti | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d40…b4ecbacked Etcheverry | 8c | 127.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Etcheverry | 24c | 124.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Etcheverry | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…99febacked Etcheverry | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Musetti | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Etcheverry | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Etcheverry | 13c | 99.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Etcheverry | 24c | 94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde8…1f7dbacked Musetti | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Musetti | 77c | 87.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ba…96c1backed Etcheverry | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Musetti | 76c | 78.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Etcheverry | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Musetti | 77c | 71.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…da60backed Musetti | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Etcheverry | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Musetti | 79c | 61.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Musetti | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…920cbacked Musetti | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8b…21d7backed Musetti | 76c | 52.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…9373backed Musetti | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 129 | 74.4%96 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Musetti | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Musetti | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Etcheverry | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Musetti | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Musetti | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…8f9abacked Musetti | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Musetti | 73c | 32.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Musetti | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Musetti | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fb…2b2abacked Musetti | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x629f…3f9dbacked Musetti | 77c | 22.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9f34backed Musetti | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf4…a478backed Musetti | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Musetti | 76c | 17.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Musetti | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.