Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30e4e318e1c29a297b94791f8bfade1df732e9d78d7b0ed404a11173c2e8a00d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 62c | 1,532$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.78 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 994.62$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed No | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked No | 44c | 788.05$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.74 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 59c | 706.42$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.57 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 41c | 700.53$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.17 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…f35ebacked Yes | 56c | 637.16$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 38c | 439.74$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.64 | 741 | 56.8%421 W · 320 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd53a…3d5abacked No | 46c | 306.52$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Yes | 55c | 301.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.64 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 55c | 251.54$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.22 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 235$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 52c | 191.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.89 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd382…8885backed No | 60c | 176.49$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.77 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…9d94backed Yes | 50c | 169.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 241 | 58.1%140 W · 101 L | +34.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 56c | 106.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Yes | 38c | 88.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 43c | 87.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 69.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Yes | 42c | 69.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked No | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72e…b33dbacked No | 68c | 56.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -9.7wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x42a4…554abacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 37c | 48.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee35…11ecbacked No | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 42.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5898…b538backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063e…5307backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked No | 45c | 33.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 44c | 32.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 56c | 32.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed No | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e50…7a6bbacked Yes | 56c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Yes | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.