Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x523ae9cbe1b3f627454850bf06e209f6e5ce87c35b48098ca9078cff583531ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aston Villa FCof Aston Villa FC, Nottingham Forest FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 24,139$17,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,340.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 6,935$1,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.62 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 2,423$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.3 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 66c | 2,329$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.89 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 1,754$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.19 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 1,398$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.52 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Aston Villa FC | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.85 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 1,086$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.06 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Aston Villa FC | 40c | 1,074$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.3 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Nottingham Forest FC | 61c | 983.61$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acb…d2c7backed Aston Villa FC | 50c | 830.46$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4948…08bdbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 768.49$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Aston Villa FC | 27c | 760$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.8 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 740$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.4 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 683.47$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.1 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Aston Villa FC | 32c | 618.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.64 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Aston Villa FC | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Aston Villa FC | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 499.99$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Aston Villa FC | 33c | 455.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.41 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Aston Villa FC | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Aston Villa FC | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 399.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nottingham Forest FC | 64c | 387.92$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.12 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Aston Villa FC | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb2…16f4backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Aston Villa FC | 27c | 272.36$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 47c | 223.94$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977d…9a58backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 210.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…93d7backed Aston Villa FC | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Aston Villa FC | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 191 | 28.8%55 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7d…eedcbacked Aston Villa FC | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6596…b50bbacked Aston Villa FC | 29c | 144.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +322.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Aston Villa FC | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Aston Villa FC | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9403…7361backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.86 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Aston Villa FC | 65c | 137.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…bfdabacked Aston Villa FC | 36c | 130.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…6b5cbacked Aston Villa FC | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Aston Villa FC | 31c | 113.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070b…9914backed Aston Villa FC | 27c | 110$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Nottingham Forest FC | 77c | 103.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8f…fca2backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…e227backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 15c | 97.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 117 | 12%14 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Aston Villa FC | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Aston Villa FC | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…9c04backed Aston Villa FC | 28c | 86.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aaa…5cfebacked Aston Villa FC | 28c | 83.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Aston Villa FC | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Aston Villa FC | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 65.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Aston Villa FC | 37c | 63.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.9wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…5047backed Nottingham Forest FC | 62c | 61.88$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Aston Villa FC | 29c | 61$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…5a75backed Aston Villa FC | 29c | 59.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 51.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Aston Villa FC | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…630cbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 49.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…32c3backed Aston Villa FC | 31c | 48.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Aston Villa FC | 34c | 48.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…1006backed Nottingham Forest FC | 24c | 46.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x725a…c06cbacked Aston Villa FC | 41c | 38.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc4…63f6backed Aston Villa FC | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Aston Villa FC | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd5…b24abacked Aston Villa FC | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Nottingham Forest FC | 69c | 30.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 29.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 28.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…e4b4backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7f…c266backed Nottingham Forest FC | 72c | 27.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd483…6365backed Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 25.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 74c | 24.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 426 | 58%247 W · 179 L | +24.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 23.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb694…023ebacked Aston Villa FC | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…b85fbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fac…7e4dbacked Nottingham Forest FC | 70c | 14.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.