Premier League · resolved market
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0394c8c68caf7e9664a2aee7363f591fa5e8c127ad501edb082dd22778895d64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 30c | 15,923$4,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,733.2 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…98b9backed Over | 78c | 4,503$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Over | 78c | 4,462$3,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.69 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Over | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 29c | 2,799$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 2,663$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.83 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Under | 26c | 2,496$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5f…4b52backed Over | 77c | 2,338$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.66 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 75cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Over | 78c | 2,223$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.69 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d25…b1f4backed Under | 26c | 2,130$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 65c | 2,020$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.69 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 72c | 1,880$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.4 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 74c | 1,778$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.34 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 23c | 1,500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 34c | 1,095$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.41 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 23c | 1,074$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…d3dcbacked Over | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.73 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Under | 21c | 800$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 22c | 800$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 77c | 778.91$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.15 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 77c | 714.29$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Over | 69c | 700$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 412 | 60.2%248 W · 164 L | +22.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Under | 22c | 700$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 78c | 620$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.96 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785c…affebacked Over | 77c | 530.37$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 70cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 78c | 509.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 59c | 499.95$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.98 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 21c | 463.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 22c | 390.41$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.89 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d4…770ebacked Over | 52c | 371.46$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.38 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 23c | 348$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.04 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Over | 75c | 310$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Under | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 379 | 58%220 W · 159 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4752…2a91backed Over | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Over | 73c | 299.59$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f8…97b3backed Over | 79c | 204.79$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Under | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 255 | 53.7%137 W · 118 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 23c | 167.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…f2f7backed Over | 78c | 160.26$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 40c | 138.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…d0d6backed Under | 24c | 135.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…0e8abacked Over | 77c | 128.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 305 | 54.8%167 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 260 | 58.5%152 W · 108 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 367 | 58.3%214 W · 153 L | +23.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 282 | 55.7%157 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Under | 29c | 111.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 21c | 102.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…efefbacked Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 296 | 57.8%171 W · 125 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 255 | 60%153 W · 102 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…74c7backed Over | 77c | 97.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaed3…205bbacked Over | 60c | 82.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…4893backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 22c | 74.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 22c | 71.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 262 | 59.5%156 W · 106 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 229 | 58.1%133 W · 96 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 313 | 59.4%186 W · 127 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 290 | 57.9%168 W · 122 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 315 | 57.8%182 W · 133 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Under | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 228 | 58.8%134 W · 94 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 25c | 59.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 23c | 58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…7952backed Under | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Over | 70c | 54.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 23c | 53.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 106 | 56.6%60 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da1…4e5fbacked Over | 69c | 51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 61c | 49.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 408 | 41.9%171 W · 237 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…d55dbacked Under | 25c | 47.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 64c | 46.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b6…2c52backed Under | 30c | 45.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2d…abbabacked Under | 33c | 45.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…33ccbacked Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0292…c9a5backed Over | 77c | 43.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 51c | 38.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Over | 77c | 34.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…d57ebacked Over | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbf…98b6backed Over | 77c | 31.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…265ebacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…4537backed Over | 80c | 28.08$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Over | 80c | 27.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)Aston Villa FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.