TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x706c…7752

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Venezuela, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Venezuela at 54 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1827.8%5 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$411.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$86.03
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39.22
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100.26
Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$96.3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$266.19
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$14.81
Will the US strike Somalia next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+525%+$167.99
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$22.7
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$123.13
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+221.8%+$285.8
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.07
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$32.04
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+233%+$425.23
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+291%+$403.75
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+89.2%+$92.33
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.76
All 18 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cambridge United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+257.1%+$43.2
Burnley FC vs. Millwall FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. West Ham United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.03
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$16.46
Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.25
Hull City AFC vs. Stoke City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Watford FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Crystal Palace FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$23.95
Sunderland AFC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.2%+$20.15
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$41
Brentford FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+92.3%+$43.2
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$59.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.25
Genoa CFC vs. Cagliari Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$19.78
FC Internazionale Milano vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.2
US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
US Lecce vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Genoa CFC vs. Pisa SC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+104.1%+$63.24
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$13.76
Bologna FC 1909 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+108.8%+$35.44
US Cremonese vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$18.7
AC Milan vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$17.8
Udinese Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+1,596.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Will Trump say "Eight and a Quarter War" this week? (January 18)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$114.88
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+400%+$113.72
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.78
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$151.57
Will there be five or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+14,252.1%+$1,532.83
Will there be exactly two announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$13.06
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by December 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$12.74
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+316.1%+$516.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-41.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-52.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+105.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+85.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.21
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will XRP reach $2.80 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lille OSC vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Perth Glory FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$236.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. AS Roma: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$34.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.