TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,487

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked No47c27,621$12,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,624.0715049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No51c19,322$9,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,514.176,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes53c17,149$9,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,064.281,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Yes53c7,359$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,900.482450%12 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f17…f0b7backed Yes37c6,392$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-47%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…0c01backed Yes52c4,771$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5004438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Yes48c4,293$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,053.921154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes53c4,059$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,150.3316437.2%61 W · 103 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1203053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Yes53c3,142$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,665.162040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x710c…892cbacked Yes53c2,000$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.978531.8%27 W · 58 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Yes53c1,856$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.87825%2 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-54.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No47c1,609$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.5913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed No48c1,577$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.173633.3%12 W · 24 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes38c1,269$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9211430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c1,267$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.114,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0c3dbacked No49c1,188$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.882665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No47c1,184$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.3439156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No63c1,166$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.2510051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes53c1,164$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6177841%32 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No47c1,053$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.681,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No47c1,022$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.081,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa70d…f721backed Yes52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcda…d764backed Yes28c998.62$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50018239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x947c…79b5backed Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.8wins-0.35per pick53cpaid-58%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes53c866.04$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45914138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No47c797.87$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8749254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba5…5f1cbacked No50c790.08$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…339ebacked Yes53c788.68$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No47c776.97$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.791172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick44cpaid+76.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-43.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No47c704.03$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.1429427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4466…9ad1backed No48c699.27$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.631376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x876c…a433backed Yes53c557.77$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe09…7acebacked Yes52c550.98$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.511338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-38.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No47c548.48$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.471,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked No48c536.18$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.424047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes53c528.3$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-30.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27012746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe5…8719backed Yes52c482.04$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…5142backed Yes54c463$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes40c432.02$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9541260.2%248 W · 164 L+22.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Yes53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7373…22eabacked No47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2122864.3%18 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes53c399.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21237342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2658…dfc7backed Yes37c399.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ca…3748backed Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8cf…1dc8backed Yes52c382.88$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.11833.3%6 W · 12 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-51.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2588…1cfdbacked No47c379.97$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.38944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6322…0c4abacked Yes53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc049…7cf6backed Yes53c336.15$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.164129.3%12 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Yes53c324.53$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1722326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.4wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes53c321.74$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.521233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed No47c320$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.62240.9%9 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked No48c311.13$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2910636.8%39 W · 67 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed No48c300$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.382548%12 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb008…03d8backed Yes53c286.97$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce3e…2f24backed Yes44c273.33$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.52934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1340…fba2backed Yes53c269.81$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…e14fbacked No49c251.26$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.872846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No48c249.98$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.9918646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes38c226.41$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.321,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes50c221$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.523926.4%63 W · 176 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Yes14c218.96$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4920931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes51c211$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe082…04bcbacked No48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No74c200$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5223353.6%125 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7609…ee8ebacked No48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c194.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.061,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes52c192.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3610051%51 W · 49 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f42…2260backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8f…9a78backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-6.9wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5694…6052backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf845…f3a8backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x658d…859fbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002437.5%9 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x610a…3528backed No48c186.22$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.221030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ff5…3324backed No48c176.37$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.011553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c4f…d295backed Yes53c163.3$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…7031backed Yes53c160.38$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60dd…1591backed Yes54c157.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes53c150.94$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.257958.2%46 W · 33 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No58c141.98$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6029041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754040%16 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2414…70eebacked Yes53c137.45$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes22c137.2$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8711712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1da…bdc2backed Yes51c137$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-45.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes53c128.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818124.9%45 W · 136 L-0.8wins0.00per pick25cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d3…f309backed Yes50c118.8$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes34c117.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406245.2%28 W · 34 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No73c114.44$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.921548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3b…a248backed Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22a…2135backed Yes53c110.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.73616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.40per pick56cpaid-68.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.