TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1867…92cabacked Under47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c9,712$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.336,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5873…f69abacked Over32c9,599$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.73138.7%12 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under46c9,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.876137.7%23 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf569…36a6backed Under47c6,000$2,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,179.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe99a…918fbacked Under60c5,455$3,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,198.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x936f…d171backed Over53c4,607$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,435.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under46c4,354$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,356.531,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under47c4,234$2,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,225.384252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.995949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Over54c3,886$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.1816753.3%89 W · 78 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Over54c3,535$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.7514456.3%81 W · 63 L+13.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+25.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d16…d24dbacked Under46c2,907$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.95556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over19c2,808$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.824,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under47c2,297$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.5640953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Under47c2,000$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0707929.1%23 W · 56 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.962646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Under47c1,825$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.321450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under46c1,787$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.9639156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a6f…6b82backed Over54c1,763$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.994052.5%21 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed Under57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.392281.8%18 W · 4 L+5.8wins+0.26per pick55cpaid+55%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Over54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8105560%33 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24ce…611cbacked Over54c1,116$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf022…f9c3backed Under48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over53c1,029$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.635625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Under47c1,029$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.557147.9%34 W · 37 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed Over54c1,019$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5504822.9%11 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Over53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5306654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Over15c957.64$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9620931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0775…eca8backed Over55c908.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017428.2%49 W · 125 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Under48c900.27$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.277844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…807dbacked Over48c778.79$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.311478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+36.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Over34c754.15$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.413240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x678b…beafbacked Over54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Over40c638.16$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.251,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Over54c635.33$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over53c599.97$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.9911346%52 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under46c587$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.981,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over54c566.03$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.665438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Under47c558.77$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.152955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over56c556.7$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.756747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over40c527$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.829343.7%128 W · 165 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Over53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5031…9802backed Over54c498.81$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x86f8…1655backed Over53c494.34$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.992850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Under65c465.64$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.975754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over54c462.96$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25012639.7%50 W · 76 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Over44c456.32$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.778243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43de…d169backed Over54c405.56$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2191952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over53c401.89$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2137544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Over52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2082552%13 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Over53c399.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.999244.6%41 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under46c395.2$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.4172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over20c377.39$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.911,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Over54c370.63$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd951…f30bbacked Over54c324.07$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over54c314.81$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over53c305.66$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16215060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf948…3c5fbacked Over54c305.56$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-61.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15651847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2658…dfc7backed Over20c299.99$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51010%1 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick34cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2aa1…dba8backed Over55c283.65$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.999551.6%49 W · 46 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc2…0751backed Over6c267.33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2564…08c2backed Over54c266.43$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4157…04f9backed Over54c259.26$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1408746%40 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c259.22$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over54c240.74$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x240d…a928backed Under47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over53c210.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.334850%24 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4977…8fd6backed Over53c208.99$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.957042.9%30 W · 40 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef02…42e1backed Under47c204.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c0…9a21backed Over54c204.9$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4764…11acbacked Under47c204.9$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ae…6657backed Over55c204.9$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over31c204.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0429041.7%121 W · 169 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063240.6%13 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Over53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1064445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76d…7c42backed Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788851.1%45 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over32c198.46$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0857744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over54c192.26$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.821963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over54c190.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10319826.3%52 W · 146 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Under47c190$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.71,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005964.4%38 W · 21 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over54c187.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2630645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under56c186.55$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.088655.8%48 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbe…1559backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009345.2%42 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005135.3%18 W · 33 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over53c184$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5211945.4%54 W · 65 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ed…2b21backed Over54c181.74$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed Over44c179.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5510051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Over53c167.92$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895543.6%24 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over53c152.16$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8118059.4%107 W · 73 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Under66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3516…ea50backed Over53c150.23$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.62825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8432755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over51c147.09$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8318139.2%71 W · 110 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.