Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x560e8e1fe12c697cfe48605df38809f4b6dae8c33067f412f04606fe7567cee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $143,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,299.99 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 9,712$4,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,040.33 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Over | 32c | 9,599$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.7 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Under | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.87 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf569…36a6backed Under | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,179.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…918fbacked Under | 60c | 5,455$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Over | 53c | 4,607$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 4,354$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.53 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 47c | 4,234$2,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,225.38 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.99 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 54c | 3,886$2,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.18 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Over | 54c | 3,535$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.75 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Under | 46c | 2,907$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 19c | 2,808$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.82 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 47c | 2,297$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.56 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 47c | 2,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.96 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Under | 47c | 1,825$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 46c | 1,787$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.96 | 391 | 56%219 W · 172 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Over | 54c | 1,763$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…611cbacked Over | 54c | 1,116$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf022…f9c3backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 53c | 1,029$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.63 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…cad3backed Under | 47c | 1,029$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.55 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Over | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 15c | 957.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.96 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 55c | 908.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 900.27$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.27 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 48c | 778.79$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 34c | 754.15$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.41 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Over | 54c | 740.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 40c | 638.16$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.25 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4422…96f4backed Over | 54c | 635.33$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 599.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.99 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 46c | 587$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.98 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 54c | 566.03$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.66 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Under | 47c | 558.77$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.15 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…f21cbacked Over | 56c | 556.7$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.75 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 40c | 527$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.8 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…9802backed Over | 54c | 498.81$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 53c | 494.34$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Under | 65c | 465.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 44c | 456.32$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 54c | 405.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 53c | 401.89$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Over | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 46c | 395.2$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.41 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 20c | 377.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Over | 54c | 370.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Over | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 54c | 314.81$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 53c | 305.66$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…3c5fbacked Over | 54c | 305.56$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2658…dfc7backed Over | 20c | 299.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 55c | 283.65$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…0751backed Over | 6c | 267.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2564…08c2backed Over | 54c | 266.43$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 54c | 259.26$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 259.22$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.44 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 54c | 240.74$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 53c | 210.06$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.33 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 53c | 208.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.95 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef02…42e1backed Under | 47c | 204.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…9a21backed Over | 54c | 204.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4764…11acbacked Under | 47c | 204.9$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ae…6657backed Over | 55c | 204.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 31c | 204.53$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 290 | 41.7%121 W · 169 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 32c | 198.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7f…824bbacked Over | 54c | 192.26$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 47c | 190$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…1b9cbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 54c | 187.52$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 56c | 186.55$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Over | 53c | 184$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…2b21backed Over | 54c | 181.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Over | 44c | 179.51$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 53c | 167.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 152.16$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3516…ea50backed Over | 53c | 150.23$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 51c | 147.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.