Venezuela · resolved market
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcba204b7a703575161f6800fd5ebabb1d5af956c0cd60bce8656d9d3244a8b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $516,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $517,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $516,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 75c | 26,686$19,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,789.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked No | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 9c | 11,399$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.72 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 16c | 11,141$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.83 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8990…091abacked Yes | 75c | 9,163$6,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 18c | 8,788$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.58 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a17…ad3bbacked No | 5c | 7,543$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…e2bdbacked Yes | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad1f…5a3fbacked No | 27c | 6,601$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 8c | 3,984$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 14c | 3,769$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.09 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 3,721$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.38 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 5c | 3,707$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.36 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 3,437$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.16 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 15c | 3,385$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.95 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6735…f5b7backed No | 12c | 3,305$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 10c | 3,291$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.29 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 27c | 2,961$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.4 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77a…daf8backed No | 8c | 2,871$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.66 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 2,709$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked No | 39c | 2,548$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 1c | 2,484$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 13c | 2,442$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 23c | 2,442$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…9440backed No | 13c | 2,363$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…2552backed No | 34c | 2,308$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 10c | 2,302$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d88…b0c4backed Yes | 75c | 2,300$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 24c | 2,228$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 2,199$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.88 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 39c | 2,153$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…4ad4backed No | 7c | 2,072$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 2,031$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…5692backed No | 3c | 2,026$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb7…4ef3backed Yes | 78c | 1,932$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5602…acc9backed No | 21c | 1,902$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 11c | 1,832$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5319…f635backed Yes | 75c | 1,750$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x164a…d563backed No | 19c | 1,716$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…2220backed No | 22c | 1,563$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b6…34cabacked Yes | 66c | 1,510$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 7c | 1,503$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebe…2984backed No | 8c | 1,502$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,482$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…b99cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,464$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 78c | 1,411$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +486.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…284ebacked No | 31c | 1,358$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf159…224abacked No | 17c | 1,318$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked No | 7c | 1,274$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.61 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 17c | 1,265$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.01 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked No | 7c | 1,257$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.31 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…0e64backed Yes | 80c | 1,256$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 22c | 1,239$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 7c | 1,156$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 18c | 1,155$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…251cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,110$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,086$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb1…36f3backed No | 10c | 1,013$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 8c | 1,002$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f7…683cbacked No | 35c | 990.03$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 3c | 963.12$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3d…7198backed No | 41c | 961.81$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 22c | 944.15$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.61 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed No | 19c | 882$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…7abfbacked Yes | 74c | 866$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 21c | 816.36$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…43debacked Yes | 53c | 770.01$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 4c | 764.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2708…ad2ebacked Yes | 60c | 758.85$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 45c | 750$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed No | 21c | 719.41$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +1,596.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed Yes | 42c | 702.72$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…3bfdbacked Yes | 65c | 695.51$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09cc…421abacked Yes | 61c | 686.7$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 8c | 686.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed Yes | 57c | 685$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.57 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…19f7backed Yes | 69c | 683.16$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8c…26e9backed Yes | 68c | 679.51$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c3…0c52backed No | 3c | 672$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad68…2c6dbacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e30…1e50backed Yes | 75c | 654.99$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed No | 43c | 649.99$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a2…3c01backed Yes | 69c | 641.05$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231e…9297backed No | 12c | 635$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 3c | 623.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc56a…65fdbacked No | 9c | 607.62$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed No | 8c | 599.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7f…e26cbacked No | 17c | 598.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…6f64backed No | 3c | 580.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…e967backed Yes | 54c | 578.08$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.74 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 75c | 551.28$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…a11dbacked Yes | 70c | 543.7$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…87adbacked No | 18c | 543.47$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 46c | 528.87$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked Yes | 61c | 520.54$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 42c | 509.87$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…d7e4backed No | 10c | 506.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?this page
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 24?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 30?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 5?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 24?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 25?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 26?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 27?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 28?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 29?No won
- Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.