Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a110349814c7988ea75d08ff3cc5ec3bad2e1b6e1bc715782ce016693cc4089
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 71c | 5,898$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 24c | 3,300$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 16c | 1,624$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 12c | 1,437$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.07 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 25c | 877.26$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 28c | 488$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 78c | 443.98$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 76c | 421.38$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 22c | 286.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 54c | 243.94$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 12c | 225.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 32c | 180$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Under | 58c | 173.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 49cpaid | +75%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Under | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Over | 19c | 130.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 21c | 123.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 37c | 121.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Under | 78c | 120$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 41c | 112.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 22c | 110.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…fdf8backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 15c | 86.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 54c | 77.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…a00abacked Under | 50c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 19c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd854…924fbacked Under | 79c | 57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 22c | 50.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Over | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over | 32c | 47.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 78c | 45.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 25c | 43.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…3e5cbacked Under | 66c | 42.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 31c | 37.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 71c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2413…2442backed Under | 71c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 79c | 24.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5this page
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.