Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a9f9099e3412889cdc11cc70957eb1c2975f9d7d44a488b0b31a4532f3d41b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 55c | 8,394$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,637.03 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 7,694$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,289.06 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 39c | 3,104$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 63c | 2,033$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.21 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Over | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 37c | 1,560$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.67 | 473 | 25.4%120 W · 353 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 49c | 816.3$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.31 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…d0b4backed Under | 52c | 682$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 63c | 663.33$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.33 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 42c | 530.48$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 37c | 444$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 36c | 390$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 65c | 334.88$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 37c | 272.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.32 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Over | 62c | 234.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 36c | 199.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -72%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 63c | 184.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbf…06d3backed Over | 64c | 165.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364f…162ebacked Over | 62c | 156.62$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Over | 63c | 154$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 147.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…ffb3backed Over | 63c | 143.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 63c | 132$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Over | 62c | 126$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked Over | 56c | 123.21$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…21eebacked Over | 62c | 114.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over | 56c | 114.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Over | 63c | 109.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc651…98efbacked Over | 62c | 102.68$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32e…203dbacked Over | 59c | 101.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 61c | 101$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcb…1879backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 62c | 94.12$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 64c | 87.85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Over | 62c | 82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 61c | 81.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 76.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…2663backed Under | 26c | 76.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 56c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 39c | 60.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 20c | 59.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Over | 75c | 57.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 63c | 52.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd2…e8e8backed Over | 60c | 49.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb780…e7a2backed Under | 39c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Under | 37c | 41.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Under | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed Over | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…8383backed Under | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Under | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 36c | 37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…6d13backed Under | 38c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…8b4bbacked Under | 38c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked Under | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 62c | 27.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…13a3backed Over | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Over | 62c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…a568backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)SC Heerenveen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.