TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x364f…162e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+26.8%+$12.29
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$63.56
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.98
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+72.3%+$42.88
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.41
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.84
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+90.5%+$10.86
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$51.73
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.53
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+41.3%+$11.59
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$30.07
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+122.9%+$18.45
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$32.8
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$37.2
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Ultra Prime (BO3)backed Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$27.97
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$21.83
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31.27
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.61
Celtics vs. Bullsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Lakers vs. Clippersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$23.44
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+34%+$66.87
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25.8%+$29.47
76ers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+159.1%+$24.86
All 6 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+122.5%+$25.42
Will Torino FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-02-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$76.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+203%+$48.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Heerenveen vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+61.1%+$59.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Cal Poly Mustangsbacked Cal Poly Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$11.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-02-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FriendlyCampers vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FriendlyCampers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.